Decay Forecast 1989-100B

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Tue Jun 03 2003 - 07:38:00 EDT

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Report 11:30 UTC

1989-100B (#20390) Tsyklon 3.stage

SCC'S 02 days before decay message - prepared 03 June, 07:17 UTC - predicts the decay on
05 June, 07:26 UTC +/-01 days (51.6°S, 71.0°E)
ascending over Indian Ocean (Kerguelen Islands).

MPM+REENTRY delivers with the ELSETs 03154.063...- 03154.247...
(SFX 120, ap 30) the decay on
05 June, 06:54 UTC +/- 03 hours (28.4°N, 272.0°E)
descending over the Gulf of Mexico.

This RB exploded on 18 April 1999, 01:19 UTC and delivered more
then 60 small fragments. The remaining object in orbit with 
a RCS of 6.25 m² and the estimated mass looks like a very
large fraction of the original RB.

Harro

Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
Berlin, Germany

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