As Harro has reported, the Molniya decay has been postponed. We also
have (or had) another decayer, though it has been lost for a few days.
Taken from my Decay Watch page:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #17332 = 85- 56 E = Giotto Ariane 1 debris
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jun 19 03:56 Jun 19 01:22 +-2d 4.7 N 149.6 W
SatEvo Jun 19 07:05 Jun 19.7 +-1d
Latest elset:
Giotto Ariane 1 deb E 1037 x 238 km
1 17332U 85056E 03167.36155093 .09286601 31851-1 57640-1 0 2952
2 17332 7.5874 120.1762 0569547 304.5910 322.5039 14.77575917159143
Note: This object, with a Radar Cross Section of 3.0 m^2, has been
lost for a few days.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #20444 = 90- 6 A = Molniya 3-37
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jun 18 17:47 Jun 19 00:05 +-4h 26.2 S 50.7 E
SatEvo Jun 19 06:50 Jun 24 15:14 +-2d
Latest elset:
Molniya 3-37 1375 x 96 km
1 20444U 90006A 03169.97683895 .09419847 60828-5 16351-3 0 9319
2 20444 61.5951 123.0396 0898405 266.4453 83.3600 14.47040730 98895
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
Note: My mention last time that "the decay has been slightly delayed"
looks like something of an understatement. As Harro Zimmer has
suggested on the SeeSat-L list, it appears that some appendages have
been ripped from the the object, seriously reducing its drag. The
latest elsets are consistent with a new decay date on the 24th.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo Home Page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Jun 19 2003 - 03:46:04 EDT