From the latest update to my Decay Watch page:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #20444 = 90- 6 A = Molniya 3-37
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jun 23 15:00 Jun 23 20:59 +-5h 5.0 N 117.8 W
SatEvo Jun 23 18:10 Jun 23 22:09 +-3h 50.3 S 179.1 W
Latest elset:
Molniya 3-37 496 x 87 km
1 20444U 90006A 03174.50025426 .38014172 85973-5 23564-3 0 9578
2 20444 61.5779 106.8777 0306462 269.6543 87.0617 15.93766799 99574
SatEvo prediction:
Molniya 3-37 354 x 85 km
1 20444U 90006A 03174.74943514 .67305119 62700+0 28956-3 0 99573
2 20444 61.5700 105.8476 0203868 269.7982 87.8657 16.20164157 99615
Molniya 3-37 305 x 84 km
1 20444U 90006A 03174.81105289 .83538603 12641+1 31042-3 0 99574
2 20444 61.5663 105.5861 0168008 269.8349 88.2399 16.29358068 99626
Molniya 3-37 241 x 83 km
1 20444U 90006A 03174.87229813 1.20162380 36350+1 34934-3 0 99573
2 20444 61.5626 105.3223 0121263 269.8719 88.7386 16.41449470 99632
Note: I estimate that this will decay near perigee on the last of
my SatEvo revs. This has puts it over the far S Pacific. The
following orbit carries it close to San Francisco at 22:34 UTC. There
is a good chance that it will decay on the previous rev, as SCC
suggests.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo Home Page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Jun 23 2003 - 14:35:54 EDT