Decay watch: March 2

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Tue, 2 Mar 1999 19:10:25 +0000

The decaying NOSS 2-3 Titan 4 rocket has been declassified. As Vladimir
Agapov suggested here on February 17, the object is catalogued as #23863
= 96- 29 G, and not as #23907 = 96- 29 B. The first elset for this
appeared on OIG's database at ~13h UTC today following the issue of its
first SpaceCom decay notice.

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Object: #25643 = 99- 10 B = Raduga 104 Proton r

Decay prediction:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Feb 28 12:08     Mar  3 03:48 +-2d        32.5 N    23.4 E
SpaceCom   Mar  1 03:01     Mar  2 18:53 +-1d         7.3 N   135.4 E
SpaceCom   Mar  1 13:07     Mar  2 13:09 +-15h       27.6 N   118.4 E
SpaceCom   Mar  2 00:44     Mar  2 12:15 +-9h         4.5 N    47.4 E
SpaceCom   Mar  2 05:37     Mar  2 12:01 +-4h        43.7 N     5.6 E
SpaceCom   Mar  2 09:49     Mar  2 12:17 +-2h         3.3 S    53.0 E
SpaceCom   Mar  2 12:47     Mar  2 12:17 +-12         0.3 S    50.9 E
 
SatEvo     Feb 28 16:15     Mar  3 00:00 +-15h 
SatEvo     Mar  1 20:00     Mar  2 08:40 +-6h        16.0 N    62.0 W
SatEvo     Mar  2 18:00     Mar  2 12:13 +-20m        0        50.7 E

Final elset:
Radg 104 Proton r                                124 x 119 km
1 25643U 99010B   99061.47913895  .45812290  12875-4  18545-3 0   221
2 25643  51.6328 213.9791 0003642 274.9933  85.3067 16.56772493   381

Note: I'm still investigating SatEvo's poor prediction of yesterday. 
SpaceCom and Harro called this much better. Like SpaceCom, I believe
that this decayed near a southbound equator crossing between Somalia and
the Seychelles.
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Object: #23863 = 96- 29 G = NOSS 2-3 Titan r

Decay prediction:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Mar  2 02:00     Mar  9 18:47 +-5d        62.8 S     8.3 E

SatEvo     Feb 27 23:25     Mar  8 18:00 +-2d         (not computed)
SatEvo     Mar  1 21:00     Mar  9 16:00 +-2d           -      -
SatEvo     Mar  2 19:00     Mar  8 19:00 +-2d           -      -

Latest elset:
NOSS 2-3 r       9.8  3.0  0.0  5.               244 x 228 km
1 23863U 96029G   99061.53244760  .01142650  88796-3  92191-3 0    80
2 23863  63.4021 201.2865 0011552  33.4247 326.7635 16.13983164 73252

SatEvo predicted elsets:
NOSS 2-3 r       9.8  3.0  0.0  5.               240 x 227 km
1 23863U 96029G   99062.02795827  .01000067  45650-3  74264-3 0 90076
2 23863  63.4063 199.3488 0010245  37.7506 322.3212 16.14909016 73336
NOSS 2-3 r       9.8  3.0  0.0  5.               234 x 221 km
1 23863U 96029G   99063.01808691  .01158600  62562-3  73868-3 0 90077
2 23863  63.4056 195.4499 0009491  37.7594 322.3071 16.17038432 73493

---------------------------------------------------------------------

Alan

-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:   alan@wingar.demon.co.uk    +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:     http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/