Re: WIRE wildly flashing

Jim Varney (jamesv@softcom.net)
Sun, 7 Mar 1999 11:51:33 -0800

On 7 Mar 99, Ron Dantowitz wrote:


> >Just south of the zenith I think I counted 20 flashes in 9.63 sec, for a 
> >period of 0.49 seconds.  There is uncertainty in the count, it was 
> >difficult to keep up.  News accounts report a tumble rate of 1 second -- 
> >did a see a half period?
> >
> >If visual appearances mean anything I don't think they are going to 
regain 
> >control of this one.
> 
> Especially if the flashes are getting more rapid! I measured a 3.233 
second
> repeated flash period on 5 March 99 at 23:45 UTC.  Very accurate... so if 
it
> is faster now... looks REAL bad.

Ron,

There may or may not be a correlation between the apparent tumble rates 
that we observed and the actual tumble rate.  The relationship between sun-
sat-observer, possibly multiple spin axes, and a bunch of different 
reflecting surfaces can get pretty complicated. Just in my observation 
alone there was a rapid increase in the apparent flash rate over the span 
of one minute.

It's possible there was more outgassing of the onboard hydrogen between our 
two observations.  I can't rule that out.  But if I had to guess it's 
because I'm lucky to have perfect zenith passes at close range, and I'm 
seeing a lot of secondary flashes off of different surfaces.

If the weather holds I'm looking forward to another very good pass tonight. 
It's quite a sparkler here!

 -- Jim

__________________________________________________________
Jim Varney
Member, Sacramento Valley Astronomical Society
Sacramento Iridiums www.softcom.net/users/jamesv/index.htm