Decay watch: Mar 30 (Ir 11A S/D)

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Tue, 30 Mar 1999 20:33:49 +0100

The decay of the Iridium 11A S/D has moved earlier...
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Object: #25580 = 98- 74 D = Iridium 11A Smart Dispenser

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Mar 23 10:26     Apr  2 10:53 +-6d        50.3 S    25.0 W
SpaceCom   Mar 25 22:20     Apr  1 20:34 +-4d         5.8 S     5.8 E
SpaceCom   Mar 29 04:21     Apr  2 02:50 +-2d        78.2 N    70.0 W
SpaceCom   Mar 30 00:40     Apr  1 19:21 +-2d        51.7 N    29.2 E
SpaceCom   Mar 30 18:18     Apr  1 15:55 +-1d        70.1 S    65.9 E

SatEvo     Mar 23 20:40     Apr  2 00:00 +-2.5d
SatEvo     Mar 25 23:40     Apr  2 00:00 +-1.5d
SatEvo     Mar 29 21:00     Apr  1 23:26 +-16h       12.1 S    38.7 W
SatEvo     Mar 30 19:25     Apr  1 16:03 +-10h       22.1 S    71.8 E

Latest elset:
Irid 11A S/D     4.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d            247 x 164 km
1 25580U 98074D   99089.65316539  .02728272 -15601-5  56556-3 0  2151
2 25580  86.2942 144.8396 0062970 116.5885 244.1686 16.25330357 15895

SatEvo prediction:
Irid 11A S/D     4.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d            237 x 160 km
1 25580U 98074D   99090.02228851  .03547913  54976-2  61131-3 0 92153
2 25580  86.2934 144.6265 0058275 114.9749 245.6316 16.27815980 15958
Irid 11A S/D     4.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d            200 x 145 km
1 25580U 98074D   99091.00336742  .07071440  27796-1  31379-3 0 92152
2 25580  86.2899 144.0555 0041964 110.6525 249.7980 16.37330078 16118
...
Irid 11A S/D     4.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d            135 x 114 km
1 25580U 98074D   99091.61216497  .54451275  25573+1  26486-3 0 92156
2 25580  86.2841 143.6948 0016057 107.9255 252.2495 16.55665333 16216


Note: The epoch of yesterday's SatEvo prediction is corrected from 
22:00 to 21:00 UTC above. The latest elset shows it running 14 seconds
early against that prediction.
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Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:   alan@wingar.demon.co.uk    +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:     http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/