Decay watch: 2003 March 17

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Mon Mar 17 2003 - 16:17:42 EST

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    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27485 = 92- 41 F = Insat 2A Ariane 44L debris F
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Mar 17 00:08     Mar 18 20:50 +-1d         2.7 S    21.4 W
    SatEvo     Mar 17 21:00     Mar 18 21:06 +-8h         5.8 N    49.3 E
    
    Latest elset:
    Insat 2A Ariane 44L deb F                        1245 x 149 km
    1 27485U 92041F   03076.75574631  .34429570 -23649-4  12273-1 0  2189
    2 27485   7.2261 137.0419 0774862   9.9975 351.7067 14.58799733 16006
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    (ends)
    Insat 2A Ariane 44L deb F                        725 x 136 km
    1 27485U 92041F   03077.55493532  .81035924  47633+0  72379-2 0 92182
    2 27485   7.2214 131.1478 0432592  21.6452 340.1297 15.45365583 16125
    Insat 2A Ariane 44L deb F                        394 x 126 km
    1 27485U 92041F   03077.80870003 2.06231782  68370+1  62481-2 0 92186
    2 27485   7.2183 129.0670 0202057  25.7571 335.2354 16.05279619 16162
    
    Note: I estimate that this will decay following perigee on the
    orbit after the final SatEvo-predicted rev above, in the vicinity
    of Somalia.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27645 = 03-  2 D = ICESat Delta rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Mar 17 15:52     Mar 18 14:04 +-14h        8.2 S    53.1 E
    SatEvo     Mar 17 21:10     Mar 18 12:38 +-6h        28.0 S    70.6 E
    
    Latest elset:
    ICESat Delta r   7.0  2.0  0.0  5.0 d   14       217 x 166 km
    1 27645U 03002D   03076.63580311  .05214663  24421-5  91718-3 0  1459
    2 27645  97.4991 258.7346 0038226 208.8864 151.0228 16.30383002 10036
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    (ends)
    ICESat Delta r   7.0  2.0  0.0  5.0 d   14       157 x 136 km
    1 27645U 03002D   03077.43072317  .30584038  77029+0  47502-3 0 91451
    2 27645  97.4933 259.6740 0016564 205.5928 154.3252 16.47248138 10161
    ICESat Delta r   7.0  2.0  0.0  5.0 d   14       141 x 126 km
    1 27645U 03002D   03077.49139650  .53618500  28673+1  43247-3 0 91452
    2 27645  97.4918 259.7470 0011479 205.3367 154.6068 16.52109682 10175
    
    Note: I have this decaying southbound over the Indian Ocean on the
    last of my SatEvo-predicted revs.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo Home Page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
    
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