VAFB has confirmed a successful launch at 21:32 UTC. Earlier, Ron Lee wrote: >The elements provided by Bjorn for a 1900 UT launch were >adjusted using Dave Ransom's ADJ2LINE program for a >1932 UT Launch. If Bjorn or Ted provide other elements, >I would go with theirs! Submittal time is 1815 UT 12 May Nice try Ron, but you were confused about the launch time, it was 21:32 UTC, not 19:32 UTC. Don't feel bad, we all make mistakes. Phil Chien reports that the coordinates to be avoided by sailors and pilots were south east of the launch site, which rules out a Kh launch, which would have traveled slightly west of due south. Below are my original NOSS 2-3 r and Lacrosse 3 r elements, with Bjoern's estimated mean anomaly, adjusted for the actual launch at 21:32 UTC: NOSS 2-3 r 15.0 4.0 0.0 4.2 1 80000U 80000 A 96133.89722222 .00000000 00000-0 00000-0 0 05 2 80000 63.4175 273.4170 0291700 163.0000 322.0000 15.33000000 08 Lacrosse 3 r 15.0 4.0 0.0 4.2 1 80001U 80001 A 96133.89722222 .00000000 00000-0 00000-0 0 07 2 80001 67.9810 269.6470 0187200 179.0000 308.0000 15.06000000 04 I believe the NOSS 2-3 r orbit is the more probable of the two, because the relationship of this launch plane to the NOSS 2-1 and 2-2 planes is identical to that of the Titan IV that exploded on 2 Aug 1993. The orbit will be entering morning visibility at my latitude, about 44 N, over the next few days. bye for now