Decay update
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Fri, 17 May 1996 21:53:26 +0100
My analysis of the recent elements for #23849 = 96- 23 B (Priroda R)
suggests decay will occur at about May 19.08.
The latest OIG element is:
Priroda R
1 23849U 96023B 96138.38389861 .01938953 12170-4 28311-3 0 586
2 23849 51.6483 268.4611 0016958 200.4040 159.6389 16.33286122 3864
Predicted elements:
Priroda R
1 23849U 96023B 96139.05606343 .03632653 95466-2 34354-3 0 90588
2 23849 51.6472 264.6880 0013156 203.2166 156.7239 16.37405638 3978
Priroda R
1 23849U 96023B 96139.54368030 .06089878 29556-1 32283-3 0 90583
2 23849 51.6459 261.9344 0009491 205.2693 154.6842 16.41921592 4056
Priroda R
1 23849U 96023B 96140.02927173 .44332409 26633+1 24937-3 0 90589
2 23849 51.6425 259.1654 0002717 207.3339 152.6518 16.54443111 4133
-------------------------------------------
Object #11791 = 80- 32 B (Atlas F R) is now predicted to decay
at about May 22.1.
The latest OIG element is
80- 32 B
1 11791U 80032B 96137.97732604 .02861540 76688-5 17024-3 0 5142
2 11791 62.9624 303.2677 0300249 274.2915 82.4152 15.78313124385188
My SatEvo predictions are:
80- 32 B
1 11791U 80032B 96139.05162913 .03601122 72896-3 19033-3 0 95148
2 11791 62.9598 299.1701 0269103 274.4415 82.4871 15.86260363385351
80- 32 B
1 11791U 80032B 96140.05795687 .04093129 28813-2 20227-3 0 95149
2 11791 62.9571 295.2898 0237894 274.5843 82.7023 15.93897520385513
80- 32 B
1 11791U 80032B 96141.05901199 .05783361 52054-2 25907-3 0 95146
2 11791 62.9539 291.3830 0198921 274.7290 83.0019 16.03452078385678
-------------------------------------------
I am now predicting the decay of #23559 = 86- 17 JF (GFZ 1 deb) at
about May 19.45.
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144
Scotland | Royal Observatory: A.Pickup@roe.ac.uk +44 (0)131 668 8224