SatEvo decay list #6

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sun, 26 May 1996 16:54:09 +0100

SatEvo decay list #6  (issued 1996 May 26)

Here are my updated SatEvo decay predictions. The "Actual?" 
decay times are estimated from the final available elements.

   #    Designation    Name             ------ Decay ------
                                        Predicted   Actual?

 23849   96- 23 B   Priroda R                       May   19.07
 23559   86- 17 JF  GFZ 1 deb                       May   19.28
 23872   96- 32 C   IAE       (see note)            May   22.44
 11791   80- 32 B   Atlas F R                       May   22.54
 13786   83-  6 B   N-2 R1              May   27.1
 18978   63- 14 DR  Westford Ndles deb  May   27.5
 23459   94- 87 E   SL-12 R aux motor   May   27.6
 20042   89- 41 C   Ariane 44L R        June  12
 23583   95- 20 C   Progress-M 27 deb   June  18
 23462   95-  1 B   Atlas 2AS Cent R    June  19
 23508   95-  8 D   Cosmos 2306 deb     June  24
 23024   94- 14 F   SL-14 deb           July   3
 23557   86- 17 JD  GFZ 1 deb           July   8
 18277   71-  3 C   SL-3 deb            July  23

 Note: There is a report that NASA claim the IAE decayed on May 22
       at 09.30 UT (ie May 22.396) over the Atlantic. My SatEvo
       analysis suggests decay should have occurred a little later,
       though not as late as May 23.437 which I quoted in error in an
       earlier posting :(         ^

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W  156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:    alan@wingar.demon.co.uk      +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | Royal Observatory: A.Pickup@roe.ac.uk +44 (0)131 668 8224