C2350 Proton R/B reentry pr
ROB MATSON (ROBERT.D.MATSON@cpmx.saic.com)
1 May 1998 14:25:25 -0800
Hi All,
For fun I decided to run a little calculation to see what the reentry
probabilities are for Cosmos 2350 Proton R/B. Assuming Alan's
reentry of roughly May 2nd 2:30 UTC +/- 2 hours, here are the
probabilities:
Pacific Ocean: 40.6%
South Atlantic Ocean: 23.3%
Asia: 18.8%
Africa: 12.5%
South America: 1.5%
Indian Ocean: 0.8%
Mediterranean: 0.8%
Red Sea: 0.4%
China Sea: 0.4%
Black Sea: 0.4%
Falklands: 0.2%
Japan: 0.2%
Combined probability over water: 66.9%
0% probability for North America, Europe and Australia.