Decay watch: May 7

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Fri, 7 May 1999 22:57:25 +0100

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Object: #8755 = 76- 24 B = Cosmos 808 r

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   May  4 18:37     May  8 18:16 +-2d        27.6 N     3.4 W
SpaceCom   May  5 11:39     May  8 12:09 +-2d        29.6 S    79.3 E
SpaceCom   May  6 15:27     May  8 14:31 +-9h         9.2 S   129.9 W
SpaceCom   May  7 20:02     May  8 04:29 +-6h        52.9 S    32.3 E

SatEvo     Apr 28 21:00     May  9 19:00 +-3d
SatEvo     Apr 30 19:10     May  7 23:00 +-2d
SatEvo     May  3 15:15     May  8 05:00 +-1.2d
SatEvo     May  4 19:40     May  8 02:43 +-18h
SatEvo     May  5 19:45     May  8 04:12 +-18h
SatEvo     May  6 21:35     May  8 07:07 +-8h
SatEvo     May  7 21:40     May  8 09:29 +-3h        45.6 N   132.8 E

Latest elset:
Cosmos 808 r     3.8  2.6  0.0  5.1 v            169 x 161 km
1 08755U 76024B   99127.77956484  .07376738 -94129-6  57561-3 0  2861
2 08755  81.2052 132.6694 0005956 243.5117 116.5358 16.40300340277729

SatEvo prediction:
Cosmos 808 r     3.8  2.6  0.0  5.1 v            159 x 153 km
1 08755U 76024B   99128.02333809  .08942036  63682-1  34410-3 0 92862
2 08755  81.2040 132.3292 0004951 242.5294 117.4203 16.43803118277763
Cosmos 808 r     3.8  2.6  0.0  5.1 v            147 x 142 km
1 08755U 76024B   99128.20575678  .15272706  21175+0  26264-3 0 92869
2 08755  81.2026 132.0732 0003899 241.7903 118.1703 16.47988197277792
Cosmos 808 r     3.8  2.6  0.0  5.1 v            132 x 129 km
1 08755U 76024B   99128.32703114  .35941474  14188+1  26180-3 0 92861
2 08755  81.2009 131.9019 0002689 241.2957 118.6772 16.53398448277814
Cosmos 808 r     3.8  2.6  0.0  5.1 v            107 x 106 km
1 08755U 76024B   99128.38743797 2.30551372  45854+2  52485-3 0 92861
2 08755  81.1993 131.8157 0001129 241.0471 118.9415 16.62669273277829

Note: the latest elset shows this running 10 seconds late against
yesterday's prediction.
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Object: #11553 = 79-  4 D = Molniya 3-11 r2

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   May  5 01:15     May  8 15:40 +-2d        25.6 S   115.6 E
SpaceCom   May  5 21:21     May  8 18:22 +-2d         7.1 S   123.8 W
SpaceCom   May  6 17:09     May  8 07:57 +-7h        36.5 S    16.3 E
SpaceCom   May  7 14:08     May  8 14:25 +-15h       46.6 S    94.4 W

SatEvo     May  4 19:45     May  8 21:33 +-1.5d
SatEvo     May  5 20:00     May  8 23:00 +-1d
SatEvo     May  6 21:45     May  8 04:25 +-12h
SatEvo     May  7 21:55     May  8 15:55 +-8h        58.8 S   158.5 E

Latest elset:
Molniya 3-11 r2                                  1928 x 82 km
1 11553U 79004D   99127.55601968  .63245154  24971-4  64018-3 0  3727
2 11553  61.9499  24.8695 1249979 282.3328 276.3878 13.68635195146984

SatEvo prediction:
Molniya 3-11 r2                                  1459 x 80 km
1 11553U 79004D   99128.01423198  .87619374  23936+0  66512-3 0 93726
2 11553  61.9244  23.4764 0965168 282.4905  66.8937 14.36728371147041
Molniya 3-11 r2                                  1108 x 78 km
1 11553U 79004D   99128.28810987 1.17008437  54632+0  68648-3 0 93726
2 11553  61.9014  22.5636 0738640 282.5955  69.2497 14.91695751147081
Molniya 3-11 r2                                  635 x 75 km
1 11553U 79004D   99128.55057325 2.14008597  30620+1  77220-3 0 93728
2 11553  61.8729  21.6022 0415651 282.7079  72.6787 15.71418884147129
Molniya 3-11 r2                                  455 x 74 km
1 11553U 79004D   99128.61384782 3.13393173  86255+1  84964-3 0 93720
2 11553  61.8637  21.3501 0287209 282.7377  74.0679 16.03632096147139

Note: The latest elset has this 2.9 minutes late against yesterday's 
prediction.
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Alan

-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:   alan@wingar.demon.co.uk    +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:     http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/