Decay watch: May 13

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Thu, 13 May 1999 20:33:54 +0100

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Object: #25347 = 98- 32 F = Iridium 70 Delta 2 r

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   May 11 17:34     May 15 18:01 +-2d        18.5 S   124.9 E
SpaceCom   May 12 19:49     May 15 18:13 +-2d        60.8 S   163.8 E
SpaceCom   May 13 13:36     May 15 13:25 +-9h        19.8 S    69.2 E

SatEvo     May  9 14:25     May 15 18:00 +-1.5d
SatEvo     May 12 18:20     May 15 17:42 +-15h
SatEvo     May 13 19:20     May 15 11:41 +-9h        30.0 N    88.7 E

Latest elset:
Iridm 70 Delta r 5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            220 x 195 km
1 25347U 98032F   99133.68491684  .02755940  00000-0  98414-3 0  4619
2 25347  84.1056 321.7410 0019047  61.2840 299.1026 16.24506219 55978

SatEvo prediction:
Iridm 70 Delta r 5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            212 x 189 km
1 25347U 98032F   99134.05420463  .03687320  70626-2  10675-2 0 94619
2 25347  84.1048 321.4027 0017377  59.7240 300.4479 16.27036071 56033
Iridm 70 Delta r 5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            199 x 180 km
1 25347U 98032F   99134.54564132  .05113377  14117-1  10136-2 0 94617
2 25347  84.1032 320.9503 0014716  57.6383 302.5040 16.31278410 56114
Iridm 70 Delta r 5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            179 x 164 km
1 25347U 98032F   99135.03550759  .09379446  51289-1  94925-3 0 94617
2 25347  84.1008 320.4959 0011023  55.5438 304.5603 16.37920993 56194

Note: The latest elset shows it running 10 seconds early against my
prediction of yesterday. I place decay on the approach to a 
southbound equator crossing.
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Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:   alan@wingar.demon.co.uk    +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:     http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/