Decay watch: 2001 May 19

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sat May 19 2001 - 11:20:05 PDT

  • Next message: George Amos: "USA 129 OBS 19th may 2001"

    See my updated Decay Watch page for updated predictions for the
    following, or my dklist.tle or select.tle files for the latest published
    elsets.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #14313 = 83- 90 A = Molniya 3-21
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   May 18 16:53     May 21 15:30 +-2d        32.3 S    40.6 W
    SatEvo     May 19 17:55     May 21 20:11 +-18h
    
    Latest elset:
    Molniya 3-21                                     5827 x 79 km
    1 14313U 83090A   01139.51498843  .52597994  71264-5  97726-3 0  5432
    2 14313  62.1016  94.4523 3079734 269.2670 304.7346  9.63242983 79663
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    
    Note: The prediction remains very uncertain. The latest elset shows
    it running 7 minutes early against yesterday's prediction.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26502 = 00- 49 F = Raduga-1 5 aux motor
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   May 19 14:54     May 23 14:12 +-2d        29.9 N   161.6 W
    SatEvo     May 19 18:00     May 24 03:02 +-1.2d
    
    Latest elset:
    Raduga-1 5 aux motor                             3963 x 103 km
    1 26502U 00049F   01139.47894075  .24170341  13772-4  10714-2 0  3676
    2 26502  46.6242 160.2231 2294129 124.9863  22.1754 11.25514183  8334
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    
    Note: This enters eclipse while northbound near 44 deg N at about 22:00
    local time. Eclipse exit occurs just beyond perigee while southbound
    near 34 deg N at ~04:00 local time, which may offer interesting
    visibility opportunities over parts of the USA.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat May 19 2001 - 11:21:20 PDT