Decay watch: 2001 May 20

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sun May 20 2001 - 11:43:29 PDT

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    As usual, predicted elsets for these decayers are on my Decay Watch
    page.
    
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #11252 = 79-  5 B = Meteor 1-29 rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   May 20 15:10     May 24 15:18 +-2d        73.2 S    92.1 E
    SatEvo     May 20 18:30     May 23 22:18 +-19h
    
    Latest elset:
    Meteor 1-29 r    3.8  2.6  0.0  5.1 v  6.1       211 x 202 km
    1 11252U 79005B   01140.54563342  .01159378  23606-5  42415-3 0  8040
    2 11252  97.2291 173.9801 0006824 212.3435 147.7479 16.24681955227964
    
    SatEvo prediction: see Decay Watch page.
    
    Note: This enters eclipse while southbound near 65 deg S and leaves
    eclipse northbound near 20 deg N at ~19:30 local time.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #14313 = 83- 90 A = Molniya 3-21
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   May 19 19:29     May 21 19:54 +-1d        44.1 S   118.7 W
    SatEvo     May 20 18:05     May 21 22:00 +-9h        49.7 S   159.0 W
    
    Latest elset:
    Molniya 3-21                                     3971 x 86 km
    1 14313U 83090A   01140.61654873  .83483009  11004-4  17043-2 0  5547
    2 14313  62.1452  92.5231 2310365 269.7265 111.7928 11.26419672 79782
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    (..ends)
    Molniya 3-21                                     1253 x 78 km
    1 14313U 83090A   01141.79398691 2.98498852  30555+1  19065-2 0 95543
    2 14313  62.0154  89.5898 0833903 270.0243  80.4313 14.68653664 79939
    Molniya 3-21                                     969 x 77 km
    1 14313U 83090A   01141.86147208 3.92211610  66645+1  19820-2 0 95545
    2 14313  61.9971  89.3564 0646442 270.0496  82.5482 15.14459540 79942
    Molniya 3-21                                     590 x 74 km
    1 14313U 83090A   01141.92677058 6.78612246  37788+2  22209-2 0 95542
    2 14313  61.9716  89.1123 0384070 270.0764  85.5237 15.79515270 79958
    
    Note: The latest elset shows this 3.3 minutes late against yesterday's
    prediction. The prediction remains very uncertain. I predict that
    this will decay northbound over the S Pacific.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26502 = 00- 49 F = Raduga-1 5 aux motor
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   May 20 07:55     May 23 03:40 +-2d        15.2 S    46.4 E
    SatEvo     May 20 18:15     May 23 14:05 +-21h
    
    Latest elset:
    Raduga-1 5 aux motor                             3357 x 104 km
    1 26502U 00049F   01140.51268942  .33582969  13990-4  13406-2 0  3723
    2 26502  46.6062 157.0735 2006124 128.0909   3.9767 11.89099375  8454
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    
    Note: The latest elset shows it running 4 min early against yesterday's
    SatEvo prediction.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sun May 20 2001 - 11:44:03 PDT