Decay watch: 2003 May 12

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Mon May 12 2003 - 14:27:24 EDT

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    Here is a summary of the latest update to my Decay Watch page.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27709 = 03- 11 C = Molniya 1-92 Molniya r
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        May 11 17:32     May 13 16:52 +-1d        62.8 S   149.2 E
    SatEvo     May 12 18:10     May 13 14:59 +-7h         0.0      93.4 E
    
    Latest elset:
    Molniya 1-92r1   4.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d    8       223 x 163 km
    1 27709U 03011C   03132.55665069  .05109623  85010-5  81446-3 0  1118
    2 27709  62.8698  13.6448 0045583 126.3829 234.1550 16.29800820  6404
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    (ends)
    Molniya 1-92r1   4.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d    8       159 x 134 km
    1 27709U 03011C   03133.47328079  .27505390  66683+0  38982-3 0 91117
    2 27709  62.8644   9.8588 0019302 126.5485 233.6291 16.47220158  6559
    Molniya 1-92r1   4.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d    8       144 x 126 km
    1 27709U 03011C   03133.53390419  .53253303  26456+1  41472-3 0 91117
    2 27709  62.8632   9.6037 0013625 126.5597 233.5657 16.51748836  6568
    
    Note: I estimate that this will decay on the orbit following the
    final predicted rev above, possibly near a southbound equator
    crossing to the W of Indonesia.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo Home Page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
    
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