SatEvo decay list #19

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sat, 30 Nov 1996 14:44:28 +0000

SatEvo decay list #19  (issued 1996 November 30)

Here are my latest SatEvo decay predictions. The "Actual?" decay 
dates are estimates based on the final available elements. I have
included only those STEP-2 Pegasus fragments which I expect to decay
before the end of the year.

   #    Designation    Name               ------- Decay -------
                                          Predicted   Actual?

 24351   94- 29 PC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               November 16
 23566   86- 17 JH  GFZ 1 deb                        November 17
 24479   94- 29 UC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               November 17
 24018   94- 29 BP  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               November 17
 24656   96- 64 A   Mars 96 Block D-2                November 18.04
 24200   94- 29 KB  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               November 19
 24562   94- 29 XN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               November 19?
 24031   94- 29 CC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               November 20 note 2
 24416   94- 29 RV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               November 20
 23998   94- 29 AT  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               November 21
 24048   94- 29 CV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               November 22
 24593   94- 29 YV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               November 22
 24664   96- 66 B   Progress M-33 r                  November 22.43
 23053   89- 89 AY  COBE deb                         November 23 note 1
 23932   86- 17 LS  GFZ 1 deb                        November 23
 24246   94- 29 LV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               November 24
 24642   96- 60 C   Molniya-3 Platform               November 26.74
 23476   83- 75 BC  Cosmos 1484 deb                  November 27
 24569   94- 29 XV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               November 27 note 1
 24584   94- 29 YL  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               November 28
  6895   73- 78 C   Delta 1 r1           November 29
 24410   94- 29 RP  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December  1
 24530   94- 29 WE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December  1
 24572   94- 29 XY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December  1
 24367   94- 29 PU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December  2
 24431   94- 29 SK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December  2
 24634   96- 59 A   FSW-2                December  2
 24462   94- 29 TK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December  3
 24371   94- 29 PY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December  4
 24468   94- 29 TR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December  4
 24538   94- 29 WN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December  4
 19216   88- 51 B   OSCAR 13             December  5 note 3
 23026   94- 14 G   Coronas I SL-14 deb  December  6
 22762   89- 89 X   COBE deb             December  8
 24461   94- 29 TJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December  8
 22110   92- 58 C   Delta 2 r            December  9
 24067   94- 29 DQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December  9
 24546   94- 29 WW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December  9
 23928   86- 17 LQ  GFZ 1 deb            December 10
 24439   94- 29 SV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 10
 24105   94- 29 FC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 11
 24467   94- 29 TQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 11
 24480   94- 29 UD  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 11
 24011   94- 29 BG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 12
 24027   94- 29 BY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 12
 24252   94- 29 MB  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 14
 24426   94- 29 SE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 15
 23963   94- 29 L   STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 18
 24330   94- 29 NF  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 18
 24363   94- 29 PQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 18
 24595   94- 29 YX  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 19
 16551   79- 17 GJ  Solwind deb          December 20
 23800   96-  5 E   Gorizont 31 SL12 deb December 20
 23885   86- 17 KE  GFZ 1 deb            December 21
 24432   94- 29 SL  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 21
 24257   94- 29 MG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 22
 24471   94- 29 TU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 22
 24469   94- 29 TS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 23
 23891   86- 17 KK  GFZ 1 deb            December 24
 24591   94- 29 YT  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 24
 24026   94- 29 BX  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 25
 24045   94- 29 CS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 28
 23969   94- 29 P   STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 29
 24539   94- 29 WP  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 30
 24356   94- 29 PH  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 31
 24452   94- 29 SU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 31
 24484   94- 29 UH  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 31
 24570   94- 29 XW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   December 31
 24641   96- 60 B   Molbiya-3 r           January  3
 23918   86- 17 LE  GFZ 1 deb             January  9
  7089   73- 86 CH  Delta 1 deb           January 18
 23695   86- 17 JS  GFZ 1 deb             January 18
 23023   94- 14 E   SL-14 deb             January 25
 23852   96- 24 B   MSX Delta r           January 31


Note:

1. No recent elsets for these objects.

2. #24031 was listed as decaying at "November 8?" last time during a
21-day gap when no elsets were issued. Elsets resumed on the 16th.

3. #19216 = OSCAR 13. I have taken this decay prediction from Bjoern 
Gimle's WWW page at http://www.algonet.se/~b_gimle/. SatEvo cannot 
model the lunisolar effects which will determine the decay of this 
object.                

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W  156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:    alan@wingar.demon.co.uk      +44 (0)131 477 9144
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