SatEvo decay list #19 (issued 1996 November 30) Here are my latest SatEvo decay predictions. The "Actual?" decay dates are estimates based on the final available elements. I have included only those STEP-2 Pegasus fragments which I expect to decay before the end of the year. # Designation Name ------- Decay ------- Predicted Actual? 24351 94- 29 PC STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 16 23566 86- 17 JH GFZ 1 deb November 17 24479 94- 29 UC STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 17 24018 94- 29 BP STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 17 24656 96- 64 A Mars 96 Block D-2 November 18.04 24200 94- 29 KB STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 19 24562 94- 29 XN STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 19? 24031 94- 29 CC STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 20 note 2 24416 94- 29 RV STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 20 23998 94- 29 AT STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 21 24048 94- 29 CV STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 22 24593 94- 29 YV STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 22 24664 96- 66 B Progress M-33 r November 22.43 23053 89- 89 AY COBE deb November 23 note 1 23932 86- 17 LS GFZ 1 deb November 23 24246 94- 29 LV STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 24 24642 96- 60 C Molniya-3 Platform November 26.74 23476 83- 75 BC Cosmos 1484 deb November 27 24569 94- 29 XV STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 27 note 1 24584 94- 29 YL STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 28 6895 73- 78 C Delta 1 r1 November 29 24410 94- 29 RP STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 1 24530 94- 29 WE STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 1 24572 94- 29 XY STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 1 24367 94- 29 PU STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 2 24431 94- 29 SK STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 2 24634 96- 59 A FSW-2 December 2 24462 94- 29 TK STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 3 24371 94- 29 PY STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 4 24468 94- 29 TR STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 4 24538 94- 29 WN STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 4 19216 88- 51 B OSCAR 13 December 5 note 3 23026 94- 14 G Coronas I SL-14 deb December 6 22762 89- 89 X COBE deb December 8 24461 94- 29 TJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 8 22110 92- 58 C Delta 2 r December 9 24067 94- 29 DQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 9 24546 94- 29 WW STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 9 23928 86- 17 LQ GFZ 1 deb December 10 24439 94- 29 SV STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 10 24105 94- 29 FC STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 11 24467 94- 29 TQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 11 24480 94- 29 UD STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 11 24011 94- 29 BG STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 12 24027 94- 29 BY STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 12 24252 94- 29 MB STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 14 24426 94- 29 SE STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 15 23963 94- 29 L STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 18 24330 94- 29 NF STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 18 24363 94- 29 PQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 18 24595 94- 29 YX STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 19 16551 79- 17 GJ Solwind deb December 20 23800 96- 5 E Gorizont 31 SL12 deb December 20 23885 86- 17 KE GFZ 1 deb December 21 24432 94- 29 SL STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 21 24257 94- 29 MG STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 22 24471 94- 29 TU STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 22 24469 94- 29 TS STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 23 23891 86- 17 KK GFZ 1 deb December 24 24591 94- 29 YT STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 24 24026 94- 29 BX STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 25 24045 94- 29 CS STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 28 23969 94- 29 P STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 29 24539 94- 29 WP STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 30 24356 94- 29 PH STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 31 24452 94- 29 SU STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 31 24484 94- 29 UH STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 31 24570 94- 29 XW STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 31 24641 96- 60 B Molbiya-3 r January 3 23918 86- 17 LE GFZ 1 deb January 9 7089 73- 86 CH Delta 1 deb January 18 23695 86- 17 JS GFZ 1 deb January 18 23023 94- 14 E SL-14 deb January 25 23852 96- 24 B MSX Delta r January 31 Note: 1. No recent elsets for these objects. 2. #24031 was listed as decaying at "November 8?" last time during a 21-day gap when no elsets were issued. Elsets resumed on the 16th. 3. #19216 = OSCAR 13. I have taken this decay prediction from Bjoern Gimle's WWW page at http://www.algonet.se/~b_gimle/. SatEvo cannot model the lunisolar effects which will determine the decay of this object. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144 Scotland | Royal Observatory: A.Pickup@roe.ac.uk +44 (0)131 668 8224