SatEvo decay list #65
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sat, 14 Nov 1998 22:52:06 +0000
SatEvo decay list #65 (issued 1998 November 14)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses
is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L,
and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
Information about SeeSat-L is available at
http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published
orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days.
Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate
their decay by December 31, although some larger and/or more
interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via
my SatEvo page at
http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all
the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus
elsets for other selected objects including Mir, the Shuttle, and
all newly launched and/or catalogued objects.
# Designation Name ---- Decay (1998/9) ----
Predicted Actual?
24090 94- 29 EM STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 29
18872 77- 65 FW Himawari 1 Delta deb October 30?
25100 97- 58 D Inspektor November 1.85
24785 95- 8 L Cosmos 2306 deb November 2.31
24789 95- 8 M Cosmos 2306 deb November 3.0
24850 94- 29 ACA STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 4?
25524 98- 65 C PAS 8 Proton platform November 4.8?
23084 89- 89 CF COBE deb November 5
25523 98- 65 B PAS 8 Proton r November 6.04
24077 94- 29 DY STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 6
25457 87- 68 CE Meteor 2-16 deb November 7?
25483 98- 53 J Orbcomm 21 Pegasus r November 7.56
24142 94- 29 GR STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 8
24087 94- 29 EJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 10
25231 87- 68 BJ Meteor 2-16 deb November 11
25335 94- 29 ADL STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 11?
24782 95- 8 H Cosmos 2306 deb November 12.6
24218 94- 29 KR STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 13?
24520 94- 29 VU STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 13?
20546 90- 28 A Pegsat November 14.21
23067 89- 89 BN COBE deb November 14?
25229 87- 68 BG Meteor 2-16 deb November 17?
22528 93- 10 H C 2234 aux motor November 18
25251 87- 68 BU Meteor 2-16 deb November 18
24069 94- 29 DS STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 19
24269 94- 29 MU STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 19
23078 89- 89 BZ COBE deb November 20?
24942 94- 29 ACE STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 21
24603 94- 29 ZF STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 22
25458 87- 68 CF Meteor 2-16 deb November 22
23772 95- 11 K SFU deb November 24
24781 95- 8 G Cosmos 2306 deb November 24
24008 94- 29 BD STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 25
21337 75- 52 BF Nimbus 6 Delta deb November 26
23101 94- 28 A MSTI 2 November 26
23316 94- 65 D Solidar. Ariane deb November 26
24237 94- 29 LL STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 27
25294 86- 17 MQ Mir VDU November 28
25232 87- 68 BK Meteor 2-16 deb December 2
22439 92- 93 EG C 2227 Zenit deb December 3
8368 75-100 C GEOS 1 Delta 1 r2 December 4
11240 79- 4 A Molniya 3-11 December 6
24101 94- 29 EY STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 6
24816 95- 71 D Cosmos 2326 deb December 6
25210 87- 68 AM Meteor 2-16 deb December 6
24264 94- 29 MP STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 7
3508 68- 91 E Cosmos 249 deb December 12
22928 93- 77 B Telstar 401 Centaur r December 12
24542 94- 29 WS STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 14
25230 87- 68 BH Meteor 2-16 deb December 14
25247 87- 68 BQ Meteor 2-16 deb December 16
9794 70- 102 F Cosmos 381 r deb December 17
25362 94- 29 ADP STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 18?
23083 89- 89 CE COBE deb December 22?
24345 94- 29 NW STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 22
24159 94- 29 HJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 23
2988 65- 82 MT OV2-1/LCS 2 deb December 24
9974 68- 97 DW Cosmos 252 deb December 24
25213 87- 68 AQ Meteor 2-16 deb December 24
4583 70- 85 A Meteor 1-6 December 25
4610 70- 25 N Nimbus 4 Agena deb December 25
2988 65- 82 LD OV2-1/LCS 2 deb December 27
24178 94- 29 JD STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 27
24463 94- 29 TL STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 27?
25455 87- 68 CC Meteor 2-16 deb December 28?
25532 98- 66 F Iridium 2 Delta r December 28
21148 91- 17 B Lacrosse 2 r December 31
25190 87- 68 R Meteor 2-16 deb December 31
25120 97- 84 J Orbcomm 8 Pegasus r January 3
25421 98- 46 J Orbcomm 13 Pegasus r January 4
25065 97- 74 C ETS-7 r January 18
22584 93- 17 D GPS 2-19 r2 January 22
23529 95- 13 B Intlst 705 Centaur r February
23907 96- 29 B NOSS 2-3 r February
7418 74- 66 B Cosmos 673 r March
25166 98- 8 E Globalstar 1 Delta r March
25472 98- 51 F Iridium 82 Delta r March
8755 76- 24 B Cosmos 808 r April
12519 81- 54 E Molniya 3-16 r2 April
25347 98- 32 F Iridium 70 Delta r April
4120 69- 84 B Meteor 1-2 r May
14329 83- 94 B Satcom 2R Delta r May
20352 89- 96 A Granat June
23186 94- 43 B APStar 1 CZ-3 r June
16609 86- 17 A Mir July Note 1
Note
1. The predicted decay of Mir (#16609 = 86- 17 A) assumes that
it is not manoeuvred in orbit before atmospheric drag brings it
down normally.
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144
Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/