Re: Decay watch: MSTI 2 & Molniya 3-11

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sun, 29 Nov 1998 18:56:33 +0000

No further elsets were issued for MSTI 2 after the one for epoch
98332.83721961  USSPACECOM record that it decayed on November 28.

You may take your pick between Harro's estimate of decay time, 22:59
UTC, and my one another half orbit later at 23:43 UTC.

             ---------------------------------

The latest elset I have for Molniya 3-11 is:

Molniya 3-11                                     3178 x 86 km
1 11240U 79004A   98333.70169786  .25361739  16054-4  43898-3 0   596
2 11240  61.9720 342.5604 1930234 285.0362  75.7611 12.11023085149292

With such an exceptional drag, it is not surprising that this has it 5
minutes early against the last predictions I posted.

I now predict the decay for December 3.4 +-1.1 day.

New predictions (but see OIG for the latest elsets, which are also
updated hourly in my select.tle and dklist.tle files on the SatEvo WWW
page):

Molniya 3-11                                     3014 x 86 km
1 11240U 79004A   98334.02471532  .29033255  16690-1  49111-3 0 90596
2 11240  61.9617 341.8141 1846241 285.1191  55.2750 12.29907055149339
Molniya 3-11                                     2767 x 86 km
1 11240U 79004A   98334.50717076  .31771906  21504-1  50840-3 0 90591
2 11240  61.9448 340.6571 1717336 285.2488  56.4725 12.59187944149398
Molniya 3-11                                     2468 x 86 km
1 11240U 79004A   98335.05552668  .35948666  30045-1  53516-3 0 90592
2 11240  61.9258 339.2726 1555845 285.4058  57.9866 12.96193431149462

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
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