I have just updated my Decay Watch page with an updated prediction for #22016 = 92- 39 C = GPS 2-14 r2. I show this decay at Nov 23 14:01 UTC +-4h, nominally near 34.7 deg N, 96.4 W. In fact, it is 14 hours since SpaceCom published the latest elset for this, so my decay prediction remains uncertain by several orbits. A re-entry in the vicinity of perigee, near the northbound equator crossing over the Pacific at 170.9 deg E at 13:37 UTC, is possible. However, I continue to show it surviving that perigee to decay somewhere around the next orbit, but where is anyone's guess at present. The track takes it over Honolulu, HI, at 13:46 UTC, Los Angeles at 13:56 then eastwards across the USA to Oklahoma City at 14:01, my nominal decay point. It reaches Charleston, SC, at 14:04. SpaceCom's latest decay warning, timed at 04:20 UTC today, has an earlier decay at Nov 23 10:22 +-9h (!) at 34.7 S, 132.6 E. My predicted elsets for the next few orbits run... GPS 2-14 r2 3.0 1.5 0.0 6.5 d 3.51 278 x 123 km 1 22016U 92039C 99327.38479483 .41081936 42921+0 74304-3 0 98831 2 22016 34.5894 78.5631 0118009 358.5175 1.4479 16.27196830178744 GPS 2-14 r2 3.0 1.5 0.0 6.5 d 3.51 250 x 121 km 1 22016U 92039C 99327.44603977 .51308810 78323+0 75406-3 0 98838 2 22016 34.5883 78.1101 0098198 359.1746 0.8094 16.32793692178759 GPS 2-14 r2 3.0 1.5 0.0 6.5 d 3.51 213 x 118 km 1 22016U 92039C 99327.50704459 .73105123 19978+1 77451-3 0 98832 2 22016 34.5868 77.6549 0072810 359.8350 0.1626 16.40178283178760 GPS 2-14 r2 3.0 1.5 0.0 6.5 d 3.51 154 x 109 km 1 22016U 92039C 99327.56769878 1.80351211 26546+2 83282-3 0 98833 2 22016 34.5845 77.1961 0034274 0.5006 359.5028 16.52911500178776 My Decay Watch update also includes a further notice for #25934 = 99- 55 B = GPS 2R-3 Delta 2 r1. SpaceCom has still to issue its final notice for this. I show decay following northern apex over China as it tracked ESE-wards across S Japan and over the Pacific. My predicted elset for the final nodal crossing: GPS2R-3 Dlt2 r1 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.0 d 14 147 x 113 km 1 25934U 99055B 99326.91794464 .92401322 57093+1 45071-3 0 91116 2 25934 33.3201 62.7107 0026117 81.8445 278.4515 16.53452099 7303 Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html