More on MIR Reentry

From: bcitron@space.com
Date: Fri Nov 17 2000 - 19:49:13 PST

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    Here is the latest info on the MIR reentry path.  Does anyone have any additional information on the Pacific Ocean impact footprint?
    
    "When a multi-module orbital complex weighing 130 tons and having enormous surface area brakes, enters the dense atmosphere, passes through the atmosphere and falls into the ocean, it is practically impossible to make a highly precise mathematical model for this process. 
    
    At the same time, specialists have a very good idea about what elements of Mir will not burn up in the atmosphere and fall to Earth. These elements are fragments of the large main frames of the Mir's main module, of the Kvant, Kristall, Spektr and Priroda modules, as well as the rocket engines. 
    
    Experts have determined a fairly vast area where the station's elements will fall -- an area some 5,000 to 6,000 miles (8,000 to 10,000 kilometers) long and 125 miles (200 kilometers) wide, the head of the Khrunichev Center said. However, some fragments of Mir could also come down over land. According to experts' calculations, the probability of this is not very high, but does exist. "
    
    bobcitron@aol.com
    
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