Extracted from my Decay Watch page:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #11682 = 80- 8 A = Cosmos 1154
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Oct 30 23:06 Nov 3 18:06 +-2d 55.8 N 173.8 E
SatEvo Nov 2 12:05 Nov 5 02:07 +-22h
Latest elset:
Cosmos 1154 5.0 1.5 0.0 5.4 v 19 224 x 218 km
1 11682U 80008A 02305.83271978 .01699842 -93399-6 93335-3 0 1356
2 11682 81.1803 322.9623 0004946 214.7904 145.3052 16.19574307794292
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26482 = 00- 50 B = Zi Yuan 2 Long March 4 rocket
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Nov 1 11:46 Nov 1 11:23 +-7m 41.0 N 22.0 E
SatEvo Nov 2 11:55 Nov 1 11:01 +-40m 46.1 N 166.6 W
Final elset:
Zi Yuan 2 LM4r 6.0 2.0 0.0 4.5 d 13 147 x 137 km
1 26482U 00050B 02305.33019055 .17498761 25455-5 23533-3 0 7214
2 26482 97.3229 46.6522 0007844 270.1558 89.8903 16.49063177122435
Note: I show this decaying northbound over the northern Pacific
after the end of the following SatEvo-predicted orbit:
Zi Yuan 2 LM4r 6.0 2.0 0.0 4.5 d 13 135 x 127 km
1 26482U 00050B 02305.39078264 .44326476 29881+1 32784-3 0 97219
2 26482 97.3216 46.7236 0005863 269.8984 90.0344 16.53135507122447
It is possible that it survived to pass southbound over eastern Europe
later on that rev, which is where SCC places the decay.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27519 = 02- 42 E = DRTS rocket fairing 1
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
SCC Nov 1 07:45 Nov 4 07:07 +-2d 25.3 N 29.9 E
SatEvo Nov 2 12:15 Nov 4 07:04 +-16h
Latest elset:
DRTS r Fairng1 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.5 v 10 277 x 263 km
1 27519U 02042E 02305.93623020 .02925446 90959-2 55450-2 0 1019
2 27519 30.4022 143.5503 0010904 317.1263 42.8739 16.01669067 8200
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27553 = 02- 50 B = Soyuz TMA-1 Soyuz-FG rocket
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Nov 1 04:22 Nov 1 03:41 +-7m 38.0 N 26.0 E
SatEvo Nov 2 12:20 Nov 1 02:52 +-45m 18.7 S 162.9 W
Final elset:
Soyuz TMA-1 Soyuz-FG r 152 x 145 km
1 27553U 02050B 02305.02466301 .16828004 12560-4 35421-3 0 201
2 27553 51.6172 85.3649 0005810 101.8101 258.2546 16.46535496 312
Note: I show an earlier decay than does SCC. I put it southbound over
the Pacific on the orbit after the one given by the final elset above.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat Nov 02 2002 - 07:43:56 EST