STS 113 lift-off time estimates

From: Ted Molczan (molczan@rogers.com)
Date: Thu Nov 07 2002 - 11:00:43 EST

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    STS 113 is scheduled for launch on 2002 Nov 11. 
    
    Based on the latest ISS elements:
    
    1 25544U 98067A   02311.49506131  .00047739  00000-0  61840-3 0  3464
    2 25544  51.6397  53.4297 0014233 112.7032 351.2466 15.58280465226328
    
    here are my predicted lift-off times for the three days beginning Nov 11:
    
    Shuttle to ISS: Pad 39A Launch Time
    
        Launch     Coplanar    Lift-off
         Date        UTC         UTC
    -----------------------------------
     2002 Nov 11   06:01:24    05:58:32
     2002 Nov 12   05:37:46    05:32:45
     2002 Nov 13   05:14:07    05:10:14
    
    The times are 3 s later than my previous prediction, due to the recent increase in the rate of ISS's orbital decay.
    
    Assuming the ISS elements remain reliable for the dates in question, the predictions should be accurate to within +/- 10 s.
    
    Ted Molczan
    
    
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