Decay update : October 12

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sun, 12 Oct 1997 21:53:42 +0100

The final elset for the Long March rocket was:
Long March 2 r                                   137 x 122 km
1 24930U 97048F   97283.96803692  .18705964 -16873-5  12135-3 0  1132
2 24930  86.2941 105.4189 0011456  25.7238 335.1343 16.53736551  6204
I believe the re-entry came on this orbit, perhaps around midnight UTC
at October 11.00.


The latest elset from OIG for Lewis LMLV-1 is:
LMLV-1                                           184 x 177 km
1 24910U 97044B   97285.57500567  .04259498  26521-5  63068-3 0  1288
2 24910  97.5413 185.9773 0004855 177.1072 183.0619 16.34531960  8042
I compute decay at about October 13.3. Predicted elsets from my SatEvo
analysis:
LMLV-1                                           170 x 168 km
1 24910U 97044B   97285.88070528  .08351014  54685-1  78868-3 0 91249
2 24910  97.5261 186.3334 0001659 148.7883 211.2215 16.38755671  8096
LMLV-1                                           164 x 162 km
1 24910U 97044B   97286.00275203  .11041894  99600-1  79355-3 0 91245
2 24910  97.5253 186.4789 0001395 148.2806 211.7278 16.41089640  8116
LMLV-1                                           155 x 154 km
1 24910U 97044B   97286.12459452  .16914670  25522+0  63373-3 0 91247
2 24910  97.5242 186.6247 0001068 147.7718 212.2347 16.44381915  8136
LMLV-1                                           138 x 137 km
1 24910U 97044B   97286.24611036  .44789491  20709+1  50681-3 0 91241
2 24910  97.5224 186.7709 0000581 147.2611 212.7425 16.50691597  8157


Decay of the Molniya-M rocket is now predicted for October 14.5. 
>From OIG:
LMLV-1                                           184 x 177 km
1 24910U 97044B   97285.57500567  .04259498  26521-5  63068-3 0  1288
2 24910  97.5413 185.9773 0004855 177.1072 183.0619 16.34531960  8042


The Iridium Delta 2 r and the SL-12 aux motor are still predicted to
decay on October 15 and 19 respectively. Latest elsets:
Iridm Delta r    5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            275 x 178 km
1 24908U 97043F   97285.51947566  .02132843 -13552-5  79955-3 0  1456
2 24908  82.6149 345.4448 0073956 153.0188 207.4991 16.17479653  8282
SL-12 r (aux motor)                              2783 x 108 km
1 21863U 92005H   97285.46399727  .12946028  94918-5  57573-3 0  2478
2 21863  64.1737 349.2769 1709335 203.8461 147.4028 12.54546093 92772

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W    156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:      alan@wingar.demon.co.uk       +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/