The latest OIG elset for the Molniya-M rocket is: Molniya-M r 169 x 145 km 1 24961U 97054B 97287.38068909 .10506696 87259-5 30391-3 0 790 2 24961 62.7979 199.4948 0018415 142.0126 218.2448 16.43343321 3139 which shows it running 6.8 sec late against the SatEvo evolution I posted yesterday. An elset at 97287.136 had shown it only 0.008 sec late. A further elset or two may yet appear, but my interim conclusion is that it decayed at about October 14.58 (13:55 UTC). Decay of the Iridium Delta 2 rocket is now predicted for about October 15.55. The latest elset from OIG is: Iridm Delta r 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.6 d 224 x 165 km 1 24908U 97043F 97287.55456019 .03961382 -14018-5 70520-3 0 1579 2 24908 82.6084 343.1326 0045228 143.3137 217.1166 16.29380028 8616 and my predicted elsets: Iridm Delta r 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.6 d 206 x 159 km 1 24908U 97043F 97287.92255546 .06683878 26971-1 85489-3 0 91571 2 24908 82.6070 342.7068 0035943 141.7961 218.4592 16.33635137 8671 Iridm Delta r 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.6 d 195 x 156 km 1 24908U 97043F 97288.10616825 .08726749 51432-1 73199-3 0 91575 2 24908 82.6060 342.4933 0030263 141.0351 219.1831 16.36425908 8708 Iridm Delta r 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.6 d 180 x 150 km 1 24908U 97043F 97288.28941317 .13203665 13012+0 61247-3 0 91575 2 24908 82.6046 342.2791 0023249 140.2721 219.8984 16.40315510 8731 Iridm Delta r 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.6 d 165 x 143 km 1 24908U 97043F 97288.41128198 .21369183 38080+0 54092-3 0 91573 2 24908 82.6033 342.1359 0017056 139.7618 220.3645 16.44348716 8754 Iridm Delta r 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.6 d 133 x 125 km 1 24908U 97043F 97288.53271444 .98369616 98170+1 64503-3 0 91579 2 24908 82.6008 341.9920 0006477 139.2492 220.7992 16.53955272 8779 Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144 Scotland | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/