Re: Decay watch: Molniya r and platform
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Fri, 9 Oct 1998 20:49:36 +0100
The latest elset for the decaying Molniya rocket ...
Moln 1T? Moln r1 297 x 191 km
1 25486U 98054B 98282.54380507 .01951824 82326-5 11355-2 0 514
2 25486 62.8155 271.5854 0080061 135.7254 224.9939 16.11002588 1694
...has it running 5 seconds late on the SatEvo prediction I posted
yesterday. My new decay prediction is for October 13.4 +-0.8 day.
Evolution:
Moln 1T? Moln r1 289 x 190 km
1 25486U 98054B 98283.04007166 .01985351 14411-2 10561-2 0 90513
2 25486 62.8149 269.6024 0074781 135.8201 224.7795 16.12868700 1773
Moln 1T? Moln r1 279 x 188 km
1 25486U 98054B 98283.53574378 .02232883 19267-2 10710-2 0 90517
2 25486 62.8142 267.6161 0069105 135.9150 224.6380 16.14953681 1857
Moln 1T? Moln r1 268 x 185 km
1 25486U 98054B 98284.03073451 .02571551 27037-2 10873-2 0 90511
2 25486 62.8134 265.6262 0062929 136.0102 224.4923 16.17322279 1930
----------------------------------
The latest on the platform ...
Molniya 1T? platform 226 x 152 km
1 25487U 98054C 98282.65459487 .07664095 84225-5 67040-3 0 612
2 25487 62.8139 270.9987 0056083 120.3116 240.3967 16.31350301 1718
... shows it only 0.7 second late on my previous prediction. I calculate
decay for October 10.21 (05:00 UTC +-3 hours).
Evolution:
Molniya 1T? platform 209 x 149 km
1 25487U 98054C 98282.83825516 .11927884 83669-1 73043-3 0 90611
2 25487 62.8127 270.2422 0045880 120.3478 240.1067 16.34972135 1746
Molniya 1T? platform 186 x 143 km
1 25487U 98054C 98283.02142959 .20592424 27382+0 65777-3 0 90617
2 25487 62.8110 269.4828 0032671 120.3843 239.9391 16.40597615 1770
Molniya 1T? platform 158 x 133 km
1 25487U 98054C 98283.14307955 .45565741 15910+1 59173-3 0 90616
2 25487 62.8090 268.9740 0019450 120.4087 239.7834 16.47744502 1793
Molniya 1T? platform 119 x 111 km
1 25487U 98054C 98283.20359521 2.82601650 50000+2 87694-3 0 90611
2 25487 62.8073 268.7180 0005874 120.4211 239.6369 16.59207177 1803
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144
Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/