Decay Alert Proton RB - Update

From: Harro.Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Mon Oct 23 2000 - 04:14:28 PDT

  • Next message: Russell: "OCT21-22.OBS"

    Report time 11:02 UTC
    
    SPACECOM's  2 HOURS BEFORE DECAY message - prepared Oct 23, 09:26 UTC - shows
    the decay on    23 October, 11:27 UTC +/- 01 hours (44.1S, 28.0E)
    on a southbound pass over border region of Atlantic / Indian Ocean.
    
    MPM + Reentry delivers now including the last ELSET 00297.373... the decay 
    on              23 October, 11:22.5 UTC +/- 08 minutes (32.91S, 09.75E)
    on the same pass over the Atlantic. My preceding forecast with a decay possi-
    bility over Canada was too optimistic. I have underestimated the slower in-
    crease of the drag rate (too high Ap !).
    
    Harro
    Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
    Berlin, Germany
    
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