Updated notices from my Decay Watch page, including one for the new
Soyuz rocket which, as Mike McCants has already posted, is a morning
object over mid-northern latitudes. I'm getting an earlier decay for
this than does SCC.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26482 = 00- 50 B = Zi Yuan 2 Long March 4 rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Oct 30 16:27 Nov 1 14:17 +-1d 62.8 N 12.7 W
SatEvo Oct 30 20:10 Nov 1 10:06 +-12h
Latest elset:
Zi Yuan 2 LM4r 6.0 2.0 0.0 4.5 d 13 204 x 193 km
1 26482U 00050B 02303.55550285 .02676987 24320-5 74363-3 0 7074
2 26482 97.3339 44.6076 0008251 281.4480 78.5884 16.27849600122141
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27519 = 02- 42 E = DRTS rocket fairing 1
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Oct 29 17:34 Nov 2 08:57 +-2d 30.2 N 64.3 E
SatEvo Oct 30 20:00 Nov 4 07:53 +-1.5d
Latest elset:
DRTS r Fairng1 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.5 v 10 311 x 297 km
1 27519U 02042E 02303.37085756 .02203359 00000-0 61622-2 0 906
2 27519 30.4042 162.4823 0010330 308.3029 51.6872 15.89469390 7793
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27553 = 02- 50 B = Soyuz TMA-1 Soyuz-FG rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Oct 30 12:43 Nov 1 07:51 +-1d 18.2 S 88.7 W
SatEvo Oct 30 20:20 Nov 1 02:05 +-1d 10.0 N 22.2 E
Latest elset:
Soyuz TMA-1 Soyuz-FG r 219 x 188 km
1 27553U 02050B 02303.67868513 .03634841 12052-4 10386-2 0 85
2 27553 51.6253 92.8955 0023688 77.3401 283.0136 16.25914942 98
SatEvo prediction:
Soyuz TMA-1 Soyuz-FG r 209 x 181 km
1 27553U 02050B 02304.04706689 .04947248 12333-1 10560-2 0 90083
2 27553 51.6244 90.8495 0021172 78.8676 281.3704 16.29186507 152
Soyuz TMA-1 Soyuz-FG r 200 x 175 km
1 27553U 02050B 02304.29221533 .06107443 20178-1 10123-2 0 90088
2 27553 51.6236 89.4821 0019178 79.8886 280.3277 16.31873683 196
Soyuz TMA-1 Soyuz-FG r 189 x 167 km
1 27553U 02050B 02304.53690842 .08071757 33879-1 94519-3 0 90082
2 27553 51.6226 88.1114 0016739 80.9122 279.2772 16.35303604 239
Soyuz TMA-1 Soyuz-FG r 175 x 157 km
1 27553U 02050B 02304.78099897 .12335385 10616+0 84191-3 0 90084
2 27553 51.6212 86.7360 0013563 81.9392 278.2146 16.40082099 279
Soyuz TMA-1 Soyuz-FG r 155 x 143 km
1 27553U 02050B 02304.96347217 .25917756 62080+0 52032-3 0 90089
2 27553 51.6195 85.7001 0009687 82.7129 277.3971 16.46341149 309
Soyuz TMA-1 Soyuz-FG r 143 x 133 km
1 27553U 02050B 02305.02409538 .48477414 24981+1 48084-3 0 90080
2 27553 51.6185 85.3532 0007272 82.9720 277.1107 16.50529945 317
Note: This enters eclipse near southern apex at 52 deg S in the
evening. Eclipse exit occurs northbound near 37 deg N before dawn.
I have it decaying just beyond the end of the final SatEvo-predicted
rev above, northbound over central Africa.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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