Search elements of Kevin Fetter's UNID

From: Ted Molczan (ssl3molcz@rogers.com)
Date: Wed Oct 20 2010 - 01:20:59 UTC

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    Kevin's UNID of Oct 19 UTC is a decaying GTO object. 
    
    I derived the following search elements from observations spanning more than 20 min:
    
                                                            161 X 3638 km
    1 99991U          10292.36333336  .00000000  00000-0  00000-0 0    04
    2 99991  26.3602  20.5892 2100000 266.7253  69.2595 11.53580373    00
                                                            199 X 3643 km
    1 99991U          10292.36330504  .00000000  00000-0  00000-0 0    08
    2 99991  26.3439  20.6098 2075092 266.7339  69.5348 11.49204680    02
                                                            239 X 3648 km
    1 99991U          10292.36328000  .00000000  00000-0  00000-0 0    06
    2 99991  26.3249  20.6100 2048108 266.8641  69.7171 11.44400249    00
    
    There is no guarantee that these span the actual orbit - the solution tends toward an even lower
    perigee and higher mean motion than the first elset - but I believe there is a sporting chance to
    find it.
    
    Standard visual magnitude appears to be about 4.5 (1000 km, 90 deg phase angle).
    
    Ted Molczan
    
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