Decay forecast ROSAT

From: Harro Zimmer (
Date: Wed Oct 19 2011 - 11:28:00 UTC

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    Report time: October 19, 11:00 UT
    1990 - 049A (#20638)  ROSAT
    Including the last ELSET 11292.157... and
    the fresh predicted SFX and AP values for 
    the next 4 days my program delivers the 
    decay on:
    23 October, 09:48 UTC +/- 08 hours descending
    29.58N, 119.60E over Taiwan.
    Looking on the last five ELSETs we can see
    that the "late" ELSETs (11290.801... - 11290.863...
    and 11291.910...) do not fit in the "normal"
    decay behaviour. They would predict a
    significant later decay (a couple of hours)
    on October 23. I omitted these ELSETs.
    Harro Zimmer     Berlin (Germany)
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