Re: FORTE NOT observed: Important Lesson Learned

Jim Varney (sat_watcher@rocketmail.com)
Mon, 1 Sep 1997 22:52:04 -0700 (PDT)

---JAY RESPLER <jrespler@InJersey.com> wrote:
>
> On Sun, 31 Aug 1997, Jim Varney wrote:
> 
> > I received a private e-mail that my FORTE observation of Aug 30
04:04
> > UT was likely a case of satellite misidentification.

> That makes sense. I looked for it, but did not see anything brighter
than 
> mag 8.  I did not understand why I didn't see something so bright.
You 
> now explained why.

I did not see FORTE again tonight.  I'm glad you understand, Jay; me,
I'm a little befuddled -- look at the large disparity between the two
passes predicted by OIG's elset and the elset from Orbital Sciences:


Track16 SGP4/SDP4     Topocentric Location: -121.398 +38.458 +0008m 

YearMoDa  H  M  S  Long(+E)  Lat(+N)   Hgt Range   Sun    Azi    Alt

24920 97047A   FORTE(OIG)        Elset Age:  1.3 days
19970902 04:43:06 -127.4754  41.0412   831  1044 -24.0 300.77  50.01
24920 97047A   FORTE(OSC)        Elset Age:  3.5 days
19970902 04:22:26 -124.8571  39.7304   806   879 -20.6 296.36  64.93
         ^^^^^^^^


FORTE(OIG)
1 24920U 97047A   97243.85199513  .00001403  00000-0  65110-3 0    85
2 24920  69.9582 269.2740 0023318 166.7783 193.3923 14.22578615   318
FORTE(OSC)
1 24920U 99001A   97241.63283565  .00000000  00000-0  00000-0 0    15
2 24920  70.0020 272.5930 0001034 195.6230 331.1350 14.27534500    12

Putting reasonable drag numbers in the OSC elset doesn't help much. 
Maybe I should have been outside 20 minutes earlier?  Has FORTE
maneuvered?


__________________________________________________
Jim Varney   121.398W  38.458N 8m   Sacramento, CA
jamesv@softcom.net, sat_watcher@rocketmail.com

The best way to eliminate any enemy is to make him a friend.
--Unattributed
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