IGS 2A search elements

From: Ted Molczan (seesat-list@rogers.com)
Date: Sun Sep 10 2006 - 06:05:21 EDT

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    The launch attempt has been delayed until 2006 Sep 11. Lift-off is scheduled for
    04:35 UTC (two minutes later than the failed launch attempt of November 2003): 
    
    http://www.zeenews.com/znnew/articles.asp?aid=321475&ssid=27&sid=ENV
    
    Observers well north of about 50 N will have evening visibility.
    
    Note that unlike the first two IGS launches, this one will carry only the
    optical payload; the radar payload is expected to be launched early next year.
    
    Assuming the above launch time, and the same trajectory and sequence of events
    as the IGS 1 launch, I estimate the following orbits, about 9 h after launch, in
    order of passage through the ascending node. The NOTAM coordinates are somewhat
    different from those of the previous launches, which may invalidate these
    assumptions. The following are simple rotations of the search elsets I posted
    for the November 2003 launch:
    
    http://satobs.org/seesat/Nov-2003/0193.html
    
    IGS 2 adapter    0.0  0.0  0.0  4.4 v
    1 70004U          06254.56275688  .00050000  00000-0  19198-2 0    14
    2 70004  97.2979  11.9238 0007992 349.6872  10.4177 15.26466818    58
    
    IGS 2 fairing1   0.0  0.0  0.0  4.0 v
    1 70005U          06254.91800472  .00070000  00000-0  27026-2 0    32
    2 70005  97.3130  12.2753 0006692 358.1528 152.3502 15.26292753   103
    
    IGS 2 fairing2   0.0  0.0  0.0  4.0 v
    1 70006U          06254.56285753  .00070000  00000-0  27213-2 0    19
    2 70006  97.3037  11.9263 0005500  35.2895 324.8707 15.26071222    63
    
    IGS 2A           0.0  0.0  0.0  5.7 v
    1 70001U          06254.56290905  .00005000  00000-0  19563-3 0    17
    2 70001  97.3059  11.9275 0005460 355.4383   4.6805 15.25857756    64
    
    IGS 2 r          0.0  0.0  0.0  3.6 v
    1 70003U          06254.56439237  .00005000  00000-0  22876-3 0    13
    2 70003  97.3006  11.8649 0067924 321.7503  37.8989 15.18458725    61
    
    Here is a tabulation of the spacing of the above orbits, in seconds of time
    relative the Adapter, which is the leading object:
    
     Piece       T + adapter (s)
    ---------    ---------------
    Adapter           +0.0
    Fairing 1         +4.6
    Fairing 2         +8.7
    IGS 2A           +13.1
    2nd stage       +141.3
    
    These spacings will change over time due to differential rates of decay, and in
    the case of the payload, manoeuvres.
    
    The fairings are the most likely to flash, or at least exhibit a regular
    variation in brightness.
    
    Happy hunting!
    
    Ted Molczan
    
    
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