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## Cosmos 2293 will decay around May 13.98

With NPOE integration of elsets 130.54-131.16, the decay occurs on May 13, around 16:00 UT. I wish I had found time to make this exercise when the elsets appeared !

```Element set number = 2
1 23336U 94072A   96134.67314197  .02541888  75396-5  10000-3 0  2101
2 23336  64.9829 352.4437 0034955 255.1986 103.7003 16.39140449 86916
Element set number = 4
1 23336U 94072A   96134.61226272  .07008314  75266-5  10000-3 0  2092
2 23336  64.9887 352.6721 0051387 258.0857 101.4714 16.42329337 86907
Element set number = 1
1 23336U 94072A   96134.55118303  .07239177  74865-5  38641-3 0  2087
2 23336  64.9929 352.9016 0041215 266.4117  93.2776 16.36501963 86899
Element set number = 5
1 23336U 94072A   96134.30645111  .04543005  74071-5  56984-3 0  2075
2 23336  64.9874 353.8321 0040412 255.9829 103.7285 16.32719977 86858
Element set number = 3
1 23336U 94072A   96134.24519686  .04596522  73913-5  61903-3 0  2067
2 23336  64.9877 354.0665 0040732 254.6908 105.0631 16.32051821 86840
Cosmos 2293      6.0  0.0  0.0  4.5
1 23336U 94072A   96131.16472874  .01397683  71804-5  59686-3 0  1955
2 23336  64.9870   5.6449 0062808 251.2899 108.2123 16.17327458 86343
Alan Pickup's SatEvo:
Cosmos 2293
1 23336U 94072A   96134.00031136  .03165036  54552-2  62730-3 0  1961
2 23336  64.9831 354.9994 0036789 249.9558 109.6478 16.28898549 86805
```

Monday's last elset (Element set number = 2) shows a very small ndot, and a MM which also seems to small. The preceding elset (Element set number = 4) has an MM which may be too small. Integrating from the third elset (Element set number = 1) I get decay at May 13 23:23 UT ! Good luck, and report your observations !

Bart de Pontieu
Fri May 24 11:30:41 MET DST 1996