VERY weird NavWarning and NOTAM for Sea of Ochotsk

Hi all,

A Navigational Warning has appeared for the Sea of Ochotsk that I initially
interpreted as a possible Russian MRBM test, albeit weird with impact in sea.

But now a matching NOTAM with a very weird text has appeared, that says:

"AS RUSSIAN SPACE CORPORATION PLAN TO DOWN A CARGO SPACESHIP FROM
THE ORBIT"

...Huh?!?

Plot of NavWarning and NOTAM area here:
https://x.com/Marco_Langbroek/status/1778584785490726999

NavWarning:

111430Z APR 24
HYDROPAC 1174/24(96,97).
NORTH PACIFIC.
TATAR STRAIT.
RUSSIA.
DNC 24.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS 0800Z TO 1000Z  DAILY
    11 THRU 13 APR:
    A. IN AREA BOUND BY
       51-09.17N 140-39.92E, 51-02.83N 141-27.92E,
       50-50.17N 141-41.92E, 50-44.75N 141-40.16E,
       50-38.08N 141-19.50E, 50-45.00N 140-27.25E.
    B. IN AREA WITHIN 86.97 MILES OF 46-10.43N 159-50.70E.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 131100Z APR 24.


NOTAM:

P2114/24 NOTAMN
Q) RJJJ/QXXXX/IV/NBO/E/000/999/4611N15951E046
A) RJJJ B) 2404110830 C) 2404131000
D) 0830/1000
E) AS RUSSIAN SPACE CORPORATION PLAN TO DOWN A CARGO SPACESHIP FROM
THE ORBIT.
THE IMPACT IS EXPECTED AS FLW,
1.IMPACT AREA : BOUNDED BY FLW POINTS
464300N1590510E 460100N1605430E
453720N1603520E 461920N1584630E
2.RMK :
(1) ATC WILL NOT CLEAR IFR FLT THRU THIS AREA FOR THE FLIGHT SAFETY
(2) ALTN RTE WILL BE NOTIFIED BY FURTHER NOTAM RJJJ
F) SFC G) UNL


Assuming that "CARGO SPACESHIP" means a Progress (otherwise, no clue....), it
does not add up: no free-flying Progress currently, and for the time window
given, the location does not match the location of the ISS orbital plane, i.e.
does not match a deorbiting Progress. And the Navigational Warning gives two
distinct hazard zones (that match a ballistic trajectory, looking at the shape
directions of Area A and the NOTAM area), not one. So what in G's name does this
refer to?

Really no clue what to make of this. Severely botched translation in the NOTAM?
"downing something from orbit" with two hazard zones matching a ballistic
trajectory almost reads like it describes an ASAT test...but for now I go with
the botched translation theory and this being some missile test.

Very weird....

- Marco


-----
Dr Marco Langbroek  -  SatTrackCam Leiden, the Netherlands.
e-mail: sattrackcam_at_langbroek.org

launchtower:    http://launchtower.langbroek.org
Station (b)log: http://sattrackcam.blogspot.com
Twitter:        _at_Marco_Langbroek
-----

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