Decay watch: 2001 December 3

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Mon Dec 03 2001 - 03:03:55 EST

  • Next message: Harro Zimmer: "Decaay Forecast JERS 1"

    Update on the JERS 1 decay from my Decay Watch page...
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #21867 = 92-  7 A = JERS 1
    
    Notice prepared: 2001 Dec 3 07:30 UTC
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    
    SpaceCom   Nov 29 19:57     Dec  3 16:03 +-2d        53.2 N    29.6 W
    SpaceCom   Nov 30 15:26     Dec  3 13:58 +-2d        21.1 S   174.4 E
    SpaceCom   Dec  1 11:35     Dec  3 09:35 +-1d         7.9 S   121.8 W
    SpaceCom   Dec  2 10:51     Dec  3 03:56 +-11h       42.7 N    44.9 W
    SpaceCom   Dec  3 01:29     Dec  3 13:38 +-7h        82.2 S    80.8 E
    SpaceCom   Dec  3 07:28     Dec  3 13:52 +-4h        34.7 S   178.1 E
    
    SatEvo     Nov 30 19:00     Dec  3 12:31 +-20h
    SatEvo     Dec  1 17:25     Dec  3 09:06 +-12h
    SatEvo     Dec  2 19:30     Dec  3 06:46 +-4h        40.2 N    88.4 W
    SatEvo     Dec  3 07:50     Dec  3 12:32 +-3h        16.0 N   170.6 W
    
    Latest elset:
    JERS 1           3.1  0.9  1.8  6.8 d   10       172 x 159 km
    1 21867U 92007A   01337.27634050  .13132631  26564-5  10236-2 0  8433
    2 21867  97.6053  91.6735 0009875 279.6167  80.4119 16.40121001539178
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    JERS 1           3.1  0.9  1.8  6.8 d   10       165 x 154 km
    1 21867U 92007A   01337.33728769  .19609421  29472+0  91195-3 0 98431
    2 21867  97.6046  91.7471 0008955 279.3631  80.5356 16.42432203539185
    JERS 1           3.1  0.9  1.8  6.8 d   10       157 x 147 km
    1 21867U 92007A   01337.39816933  .27122983  63108+0  72698-3 0 98431
    2 21867  97.6036  91.8208 0007780 279.1090  80.8030 16.45220391539194
    JERS 1           3.1  0.9  1.8  6.8 d   10       145 x 137 km
    1 21867U 92007A   01337.45892596  .48534179  25030+1  62193-3 0 98436
    2 21867  97.6022  91.8947 0006015 278.8541  81.0778 16.49526336539202
    
    Note: This decay has slipped significantly and surprisingly. Like
    SpaceCom, I show the decay almost back to the time we were predicting
    on November 30. In my case, I have the decay northbound over the
    central Pacific. SpaceCom has it almost an orbit later.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Dec 03 2001 - 03:04:56 EST