SatEvo decay list #121 (issued 2001 December 9) These tables of my satellite decay (re-entry) analyses and predictions are posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satobs.org/seesat/seesatindex.html The decay dates are based on each object's published orbital element sets ("elsets") and, in the case pending decay, are included until 2002 January 31, although some larger and/or more interesting objects are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including the ISS, the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for 8,200+ satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. # Designation Name Estimated actual decay 2001 19220 88- 51 F Meteosat P2 r November 22.40 23740 95- 68 G Glonass 79 aux motor November 22.95 24149 94- 29 GY STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 24.9 11155 78-117 A Cosmos 1063 November 25.28 26427 99- 57 JY CBERS LM4 deb November 25.8 26971 01- 50 B Molniya 3-52 r1 November 27.09 26963 78- 64 K Seasat 1 deb November 28 26984 01- 51 B Progress M1-7 Soyuz r November 28.66 16878 79- 17 JF Solwind deb November 29 26204 99- 57 CS CBERS LM4 deb November 30.6 275 61- 15 CP Transit 4A deb December 1.8 26990 01- 53 D Uragan Proton r December 2.18 Note 1 21867 92- 7 A JERS 1 December 3.56 24317 96- 49 C FAST Pegasus deb December 3.7 26875 01- 32 C Koronas-F deb December 3.77 26877 01- 32 E Koronas-F deb December 5.1 24259 94- 29 MJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 5.4 26292 99- 57 GE CBERS LM4 deb December 5.9 25155 98- 6 D Inmarsat 3-F5 Spelda December 5.97 20610 90- 43 D Macsat 1 Scout deb December 8.0 # Designation Name Predicted decay 2001 4444 69- 82 ER OPS 1807 ThAg deb December 9.3 26935 01- 44 B USA 161 Titan 4 r December 9 11216 76-120 AT Cosmos 880 deb December 9.8 17123 86- 19 T Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb December 10 19108 63- 14 EH Westford Needles deb December 10 24014 94- 29 BK STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 10 24339 94- 29 NQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 10 5591 71- 15 BZ Cosmos 397 deb December 13 20052 89- 43 A Molniya 3-35 December 13 25556 64- 49 L Cosmos 41 deb December 14? 26426 99- 57 JX CBERS LM4 deb December 15 24199 94- 29 KA STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 16 24318 96- 49 D FAST Pegasus deb December 20 26797 89-101 S Cos 2054 Proton deb December 22 5981 63- 14 CY Westford Needles deb December 23 22298 92- 93 N Cos 2227 Zenit deb December 23 4802 70-109 B Diamant B r December 24 24212 94- 29 KK STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 25 13446 82- 83 E Molniya 3-19 r2 December 29? 26201 99- 57 CP CBERS LM4 deb December 29 26999 01- 55 C Jason 1 Delta 2 r December 29 3717 68- 97 AU Cosmos 252 deb December 30 24766 94- 29 ABL STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 30 2002 20307 78-100 AS Cos 1045 SL-14 deb January 1 21267 91- 32 B NOAA 12 deb January 2 26966 94- 77 L Cos 2297 Zenit deb January 3 26784 71-120 J Meteor 1-10 SL-3 deb January 5 13432 82- 83 A Molniya 3-19 January 6? 25191 87- 68 S Met 2-16 Tsyklon deb January 6 4944 70- 25 GE Nimbus 4 ThAg deb January 7 24610 94- 29 ZN STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 7 24133 94- 29 GG STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 9 8309 74- 89 BS NOAA 4 Thorad Dlt deb January 12 26925 91- 50 G ERS-1 Ariane 40 deb January 13? 14319 83- 90 D Molniya 3-21 r2 January 14 23733 95- 67 D Telecom 2C Spelda January 14 9828 76-126 AQ Cosmos 886 deb January 15 26316 99- 57 GZ CBERS LM4 deb January 15 11932 80- 69 A Cosmos 1206 January 16 24134 94- 29 GH STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 17 24736 96- 10 F Raduga 33 aux motor January 22 11056 78- 94 B Cosmos 1043 r January 23 5759 70- 89 CK Cosmos 374 deb January 24 12702 81- 53 AW Cosmos 1275 deb January 25 13023 81- 53 EV Cosmos 1275 deb January 25 26660 99- 57 LS CBERS LM4 deb January 25 18678 63- 14 DL westford Needles deb January 26 24155 94- 29 HE STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 27 26501 00- 49 E Raduga-1 5 aux motor January 28 26625 00- 76 B Anik F1 Ariane 44L r January 29 21987 92- 31 A EUVE February 4 21141 91- 15 C Ariane 44LP r February 5 23009 94- 10 B Dummy mass February 6 26889 01- 35 B SimpleSat 1 February 11 22013 92- 38 B Sampex r February 12 24947 97- 51 D Iridium 27 tum February 12 25988 99- 65 J Orbcomm 30 Pegasus r2 February 14 19544 88- 90 D Molniya 3-33 r2 February 20 11556 79- 70 D Molniya 1-44 r2 February 21 Note 2 11269 79- 12 B Cosmos 1077 r February 24 1843 65-106 A Cosmos 100 February 28 11600 79- 93 A Cosmos 1143 March 23742 95- 69 B Galaxy 3R Centaur r March 24779 97- 18 A Minisat-01 March 26641 00- 81 D Astra 2D Ariane 5 r March 24645 96- 61 A SAC-B/HETE + r April 2129 66- 26 B P-35-15 r May 22780 93- 54 B GPS 2-22 r1 May 25389 98- 42 A Tubsat N May 25987 99- 65 H Orbcomm 30 Pegasus r1 May 11821 80- 44 A Cosmos 1184 June Notes 1. The re-entry of the Uragan Proton r, the 3rd stage of the Proton used to launch three Uragan navigation satellites, was widely observed as it tracked northwards over Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Nebraska in the late evening of December 1 local time. Another re-entry observed from southern England, France and Belgium at December 1.94 is believed to have been of the casing or "platform" from this launch. The later object was not catalogued by SpaceCom. 2. #11556 = Molniya 1-44 r2 was incorrectly called Cosmos 1043 r last time. Alan -- Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum) Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ * ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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