SatEvo decay list #121

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sun Dec 09 2001 - 12:52:24 EST

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    SatEvo decay list #121 (issued 2001 December 9)
    
    These tables of my satellite decay (re-entry) analyses and predictions
    are posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to
    the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
    Information about SeeSat-L is available at
             http://www.satobs.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
    
    The decay dates are based on each object's published orbital element
    sets ("elsets") and, in the case pending decay, are included until
    2002 January 31, although some larger and/or more interesting objects
    are included beyond that date.
    
    This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my
    SatEvo page at
             http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the
    Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for
    other selected objects including the ISS, the Shuttle and all newly
    launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file,
    satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for 8,200+ satellites.
    This is available in zipped form from the same address.
    
        #    Designation    Name          Estimated actual decay
                                                   2001
    
      19220   88- 51 F   Meteosat P2 r         November 22.40
      23740   95- 68 G   Glonass 79 aux motor  November 22.95
      24149   94- 29 GY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    November 24.9
      11155   78-117 A   Cosmos 1063           November 25.28
      26427   99- 57 JY  CBERS LM4 deb         November 25.8
      26971   01- 50 B   Molniya 3-52 r1       November 27.09
      26963   78- 64 K   Seasat 1 deb          November 28
      26984   01- 51 B   Progress M1-7 Soyuz r November 28.66
      16878   79- 17 JF  Solwind deb           November 29
      26204   99- 57 CS  CBERS LM4 deb         November 30.6
        275   61- 15 CP  Transit 4A deb        December  1.8
      26990   01- 53 D   Uragan Proton r       December  2.18 Note 1
      21867   92-  7 A   JERS 1                December  3.56
      24317   96- 49 C   FAST Pegasus deb      December  3.7
      26875   01- 32 C   Koronas-F deb         December  3.77
      26877   01- 32 E   Koronas-F deb         December  5.1
      24259   94- 29 MJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December  5.4
      26292   99- 57 GE  CBERS LM4 deb         December  5.9
      25155   98-  6 D   Inmarsat 3-F5 Spelda  December  5.97
      20610   90- 43 D   Macsat 1 Scout deb    December  8.0
    
    
        #    Designation    Name              Predicted decay
                                                   2001
    
       4444   69- 82 ER  OPS 1807 ThAg deb     December  9.3
      26935   01- 44 B   USA 161 Titan 4 r     December  9
      11216   76-120 AT  Cosmos 880 deb        December  9.8
      17123   86- 19 T   Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb   December 10
      19108   63- 14 EH  Westford Needles deb  December 10
      24014   94- 29 BK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December 10
      24339   94- 29 NQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December 10
       5591   71- 15 BZ  Cosmos 397 deb        December 13
      20052   89- 43 A   Molniya 3-35          December 13
      25556   64- 49 L   Cosmos 41 deb         December 14?
      26426   99- 57 JX  CBERS LM4 deb         December 15
      24199   94- 29 KA  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December 16
      24318   96- 49 D   FAST Pegasus deb      December 20
      26797   89-101 S   Cos 2054 Proton deb   December 22
       5981   63- 14 CY  Westford Needles deb  December 23
      22298   92- 93 N   Cos 2227 Zenit deb    December 23
       4802   70-109 B   Diamant B r           December 24
      24212   94- 29 KK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December 25
      13446   82- 83 E   Molniya 3-19 r2       December 29?
      26201   99- 57 CP  CBERS LM4 deb         December 29
      26999   01- 55 C   Jason 1 Delta 2 r     December 29
       3717   68- 97 AU  Cosmos 252 deb        December 30
      24766   94- 29 ABL STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December 30
    
                                                   2002
      20307   78-100 AS  Cos 1045 SL-14 deb     January  1
      21267   91- 32 B   NOAA 12 deb            January  2
      26966   94- 77 L   Cos 2297 Zenit deb     January  3
      26784   71-120 J   Meteor 1-10 SL-3 deb   January  5
      13432   82- 83 A   Molniya 3-19           January  6?
      25191   87- 68 S   Met 2-16 Tsyklon deb   January  6
       4944   70- 25 GE  Nimbus 4 ThAg deb      January  7
      24610   94- 29 ZN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January  7
      24133   94- 29 GG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January  9
       8309   74- 89 BS  NOAA 4 Thorad Dlt deb  January 12
      26925   91- 50 G   ERS-1 Ariane 40 deb    January 13?
      14319   83- 90 D   Molniya 3-21 r2        January 14
      23733   95- 67 D   Telecom 2C Spelda      January 14
       9828   76-126 AQ  Cosmos 886 deb         January 15
      26316   99- 57 GZ  CBERS LM4 deb          January 15
      11932   80- 69 A   Cosmos 1206            January 16
      24134   94- 29 GH  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January 17
      24736   96- 10 F   Raduga 33 aux motor    January 22
      11056   78- 94 B   Cosmos 1043 r          January 23
       5759   70- 89 CK  Cosmos 374 deb         January 24
      12702   81- 53 AW  Cosmos 1275 deb        January 25
      13023   81- 53 EV  Cosmos 1275 deb        January 25
      26660   99- 57 LS  CBERS LM4 deb          January 25
      18678   63- 14 DL  westford Needles deb   January 26
      24155   94- 29 HE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January 27
      26501   00- 49 E   Raduga-1 5 aux motor   January 28
      26625   00- 76 B   Anik F1 Ariane 44L r   January 29
      21987   92- 31 A   EUVE                  February  4
      21141   91- 15 C   Ariane 44LP r         February  5
      23009   94- 10 B   Dummy mass            February  6
      26889   01- 35 B   SimpleSat 1           February 11
      22013   92- 38 B   Sampex r              February 12
      24947   97- 51 D   Iridium 27 tum        February 12
      25988   99- 65 J   Orbcomm 30 Pegasus r2 February 14
      19544   88- 90 D   Molniya 3-33 r2       February 20
      11556   79- 70 D   Molniya 1-44 r2       February 21 Note 2
      11269   79- 12 B   Cosmos 1077 r         February 24
       1843   65-106 A   Cosmos 100            February 28
      11600   79- 93 A   Cosmos 1143              March
      23742   95- 69 B   Galaxy 3R Centaur r      March
      24779   97- 18 A   Minisat-01               March
      26641   00- 81 D   Astra 2D Ariane 5 r      March
      24645   96- 61 A   SAC-B/HETE + r           April
       2129   66- 26 B   P-35-15 r                  May
      22780   93- 54 B   GPS 2-22 r1                May
      25389   98- 42 A   Tubsat N                   May
      25987   99- 65 H   Orbcomm 30 Pegasus r1      May
      11821   80- 44 A   Cosmos 1184               June
    
    
    Notes
    
    1. The re-entry of the Uragan Proton r, the 3rd stage of the Proton used
    to launch three Uragan navigation satellites, was widely observed as it
    tracked northwards over Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Nebraska in the late
    
    evening of December 1 local time. Another re-entry observed from 
    southern England, France and Belgium at December 1.94 is believed to 
    have been of the casing or "platform" from this launch. The later object 
    was not catalogued by SpaceCom.
    
    2. #11556 = Molniya 1-44 r2 was incorrectly called Cosmos 1043 r last 
    time.
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
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