I have updated my Decay Watch page with the final notice for #1822, the
Titan 3C Transtage rocket, and SNOE, which I believe is still more than
a week away from decay, contrary to the interesting report referenced on
SeeSat-L by Robert Holdsworth. A summary of my postings:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #1822 = 65- 82 DM = OV2-1/LCS2 Titan 3C Transtage r
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Dec 2 17:39 Dec 2 16:21 +-7m 28.8 S 67.3 W
SatEvo Dec 3 21:00 Dec 2 16:05 +-80m 2.5 N 127.2 W
Final elset:
OV2-1/LCS2 DM 2.8 0.0 0.0 6.1 d 5.4 162 x 161 km
1 01822U 65082DM 03336.45882631 .13493652 -24141-5 78357-3 0 4658
2 01822 32.1430 10.1640 0000727 239.5483 120.5257 16.41482216 67853
Note: I have this decaying while southbound over the eastern Pacific
on the rev given by the SatEvo-predicted elset:
OV2-1/LCS2 DM 2.8 0.0 0.0 6.1 d 5.4 135 x 134 km
1 01822U 65082DM 03336.64077356 .72724835 80805+1 61338-3 0 94657
2 01822 32.1410 8.7493 0000906 241.7075 118.2833 16.51904376 67885
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25233 = 98- 12 A = SNOE
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Not predicted at present
SatEvo Dec 3 21:10 Dec 12 +-3d
Latest elset:
SNOE 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 d 0.83 258 x 246 km
1 25233U 98012A 03337.54063379 .00667749 23267-3 81023-3 0 6523
2 25233 97.6561 306.8602 0009181 127.9107 232.3007 16.08111191320890
SatEvo prediction:
SNOE 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 d 0.83 256 x 244 km
1 25233U 98012A 03338.03832631 .00697696 17632-3 80766-3 0 96528
2 25233 97.6559 307.4370 0008989 125.9381 234.1451 16.08790501320973
SNOE 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 d 0.83 252 x 241 km
1 25233U 98012A 03339.03310201 .00766524 26105-3 80824-3 0 96520
2 25233 97.6553 308.5916 0008590 121.9893 238.0942 16.10243460321134
SNOE 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 d 0.83 247 x 236 km
1 25233U 98012A 03340.02693545 .00854081 33082-3 81027-3 0 96520
2 25233 97.6547 309.7475 0008164 118.0354 242.0471 16.11850588321291
Note: There is a report at
http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2003-12/uoca-uoc120103.php
that NASA is predicting this decay for December 5, or perhaps earlier.
This does not square with my own prediction, and SCC has yet to post
decay warnings for this. It enters eclipse over the Arctic and leaves
eclipse southbound near 32 deg S at about 03:00 local time.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo Home Page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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