Re: Decay Watch: Molniya 3-16
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sun, 1 Feb 1998 20:44:00 +0000
This is a difficult one to call. A new elset from OIG has a silly drag
term suggesting that USSPACECOM is finding it a strain too:
Molniya 3-16 14794 x 99 km
1 12512U 81054A 98032.51923503 -.00466860 -22135-5 -65132-4 0 587
2 12512 62.1634 90.0662 5314741 272.5164 35.1733 5.34144091123751
Propagated to the equator crossing, this shows it 15 minutes late on the
"9057" prediction I posted earlier this (UK) evening.
It does appear that the best Q-factor to use in SatEvo is continuing to
increase. Elsets over the past 3 days fit best using a Q-factor of 0.75
and I have used one of 0.8 for the following new prediction for (only)
the next few hours:
Molniya 3-16 14219 x 80 km
1 12512U 81054A 98032.88694387 .29301886 22688-1 15135-2 0 90580
2 12512 62.1634 89.8394 5225721 272.5383 31.4297 5.51805563123774
Molniya 3-16 13873 x 80 km
1 12512U 81054A 98033.06671772 .30573700 24623-1 15296-2 0 90581
2 12512 62.1634 89.7239 5163851 272.5495 32.0081 5.62566527123785
Molniya 3-16 13530 x 80 km
1 12512U 81054A 98033.24305199 .31928475 26683-1 15471-2 0 90585
2 12512 62.1634 89.6075 5100910 272.5607 32.5989 5.73584489123796
Molniya 3-16 13190 x 80 km
1 12512U 81054A 98033.41599744 .33373845 29156-1 15656-2 0 90585
2 12512 62.1633 89.4901 5036832 272.5721 33.2036 5.84874690123800
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144
Scotland | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/