Re: Decay watch: Molniya 3-16
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Thu, 5 Feb 1998 21:35:39 +0000
Further elsets from OIG show this decaying Molniya kept within 30
seconds of the "9078" prediction I posted yesterday.
The latest elset ...
Molniya 3-16 6578 x 72 km
1 12512U 81054A 98036.62274589 .11711772 65264-5 15837-3 0 856
2 12512 62.1572 86.5143 3352134 272.9496 50.3223 9.08351656124020
... shows it 109 seconds early against an extension of that evolution,
but has a much-too-low drag.
I still predict re-entry at about February 7.4, now +-0.3 day.
My "9085" evolution for the next few hours:
Molniya 3-16 5988 x 74 km
1 12512U 81054A 98036.83799358 .96552650 16934+0 13781-2 0 90854
2 12512 62.1572 86.2093 3142353 272.9792 52.0847 9.51221874124049
Molniya 3-16 5720 x 74 km
1 12512U 81054A 98036.94230050 1.02211726 19449+0 14024-2 0 90854
2 12512 62.1571 86.0532 3043135 272.9944 53.1266 9.71941531124050
Molniya 3-16 5452 x 74 km
1 12512U 81054A 98037.04437783 1.07913821 18430+0 14228-2 0 90853
2 12512 62.1571 85.8947 2941089 273.0098 54.2022 9.93403979124069
Molniya 3-16 5185 x 74 km
1 12512U 81054A 98037.14424836 1.13802318 21156+0 14404-2 0 90859
2 12512 62.1571 85.7337 2836643 273.0254 55.3073 10.15533446124072
Molniya 3-16 4920 x 74 km
1 12512U 81054A 98037.24194059 1.20437901 24581+0 14614-2 0 90859
2 12512 62.1570 85.5699 2729512 273.0413 56.4458 10.38401271124088
Molniya 3-16 4654 x 74 km
1 12512U 81054A 98037.33747732 1.27987804 28482+0 14883-2 0 90852
2 12512 62.1570 85.4034 2619223 273.0575 57.6223 10.62116381124092
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
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