Re: Decay watch: Molniya 3-16
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Mon, 9 Feb 1998 19:17:23 +0000
By the end of the period covered by my prediction in the previous
posting (evolution "9134"), this object was running 3.9 minutes early.
The latest elset is:
Molniya 3-16 1311 x 71 km
1 12512U 81054A 98040.64580108 .99999999 74699-5 54452-3 0 1450
2 12512 62.1304 78.2125 0876683 274.8513 75.3102 14.60683182124488
As usual, the ndot2 drag term is given as 0.99999999 when the actual
value is probably much higher - I compute about 1.62 for this rev.
My prediction through to decay at about February 9.96 (~23h UTC):
Molniya 3-16 1138 x 70 km
1 12512U 81054A 98040.71373064 1.83687550 12676+1 67872-3 0 91451
2 12512 62.1234 77.9833 0764640 274.8741 76.4462 14.88005604124493
Molniya 3-16 974 x 70 km
1 12512U 81054A 98040.78058074 2.16204270 20458+1 73357-3 0 91452
2 12512 62.1124 77.7494 0655001 274.8975 77.6610 15.14575244124503
Molniya 3-16 785 x 70 km
1 12512U 81054A 98040.84621102 2.72705614 43183+1 81729-3 0 91459
2 12512 62.0993 77.5101 0525258 274.9216 79.1043 15.46244095124518
Molniya 3-16 537 x 70 km
1 12512U 81054A 98040.91041067 4.41630520 17352+2 10698-2 0 91450
2 12512 62.0866 77.2633 0348815 274.9467 81.0808 15.89604274124522
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144
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