Re: Decay watch: C 2349 Soyuz rocket
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Fri, 20 Feb 1998 19:25:09 +0000
The latest elset for this is more than 12 hours old:
C 2349 Soyuz r 207 x 170 km
1 25168U 98009B 98051.27113032 .03969669 40845-5 67425-3 0 161
2 25168 70.3809 340.7626 0028390 66.2089 294.2309 16.31494078 464
This shows it 0.8 second late against the "9013" prediction I posted
yesterday.
A new SatEvo analysis predicts decay at about February 21.2 (05h UTC
+-4h).
Predicted elsets:
C 2349 Soyuz r 180 x 156 km
1 25168U 98009B 98051.82175704 .09964105 71461-1 72634-3 0 90163
2 25168 70.3784 339.0916 0018460 65.1233 295.0685 16.39067145 550
C 2349 Soyuz r 176 x 154 km
1 25168U 98009B 98051.88276162 .11411080 86477-1 64644-3 0 90166
2 25168 70.3779 338.9052 0017007 65.0023 295.1742 16.40368565 563
C 2349 Soyuz r 171 x 151 km
1 25168U 98009B 98051.94371411 .13258478 12196+0 56809-3 0 90167
2 25168 70.3775 338.7185 0015419 64.8811 295.2788 16.41865737 577
C 2349 Soyuz r 165 x 147 km
1 25168U 98009B 98052.00460606 .15979285 18700+0 49926-3 0 90167
2 25168 70.3769 338.5316 0013649 64.7597 295.3817 16.43634107 589
C 2349 Soyuz r 158 x 143 km
1 25168U 98009B 98052.06542495 .20459072 32911+0 44073-3 0 90161
2 25168 70.3762 338.3445 0011615 64.6382 295.4820 16.45824095 590
C 2349 Soyuz r 149 x 137 km
1 25168U 98009B 98052.12614977 .29527905 75998+0 39701-3 0 90167
2 25168 70.3753 338.1569 0009142 64.5165 295.5781 16.48781152 603
C 2349 Soyuz r 133 x 126 km
1 25168U 98009B 98052.18673480 .61435100 39629+1 40146-3 0 90165
2 25168 70.3738 337.9687 0005685 64.3944 295.6644 16.53750719 616
I hope to post an update later this UK evening.
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144
Scotland | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/