#26068 = 00- 05 B = Progress M1-1 Soyuz r My prediction is for this decay to occur at Feb 2 22:21 +-3h near 30.2 N, 152.8 E, which is over the NE Pacific, E of Japan. I had delayed posting this prediction in the hope that later elsets would appear. In fact, no elsets have been issued for 10 hours and I fear that SpaceCom is again withholding them until after the decay (I hope I am proved wrong!). My prediction has the decay soon after the northbound equator crossing given by the final SatEvo-predicted elset: PrgM1-1 Soyuz r 6.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 d 15 110 x 108 km 1 26068U 00005B 00033.92464380 2.65143656 50000+2 58653-3 0 90094 2 26068 51.6170 233.3127 0001912 43.3881 316.6267 16.61574900 241 If it survives longer, it would continue over the USA from Seattle, Washington, at 22:37 UTC to Key West, Florida, at 22:47. On the next rev, it would cross the SW USA from Sacramento, California, at about 00:08 to Tucson, Arizona, at 00:11. SpaceCom's forecast, issued at 17:24, is for decay at Feb 2 23:30 +-3h at 43.6N, 173.0 E, over the N Pacific. #22702 = 93- 42 C = GPS 2-21 r2 (PAM-D) SpaceCom has issued a decay warning for this, predicting decay at Feb 5 21:43 +-2d. I get Feb 5 21:09 +-21h. This enters eclipse while northbound near 31 deg N at ~19:30 local time and leaves eclipse while southbound near 14 deg S at ~05:00 local time. See http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ for more details. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Wed Feb 02 2000 - 12:05:52 PST