Re: shoot down questions

From: Björn Gimle @GlocalNet (@GlocalNet)
Date: Fri Feb 15 2008 - 14:41:11 UTC

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    We have "NO" idea.
    Generally, we can only guess within 15% of remaining lifetime (~within 15%
    of distance travelled)
    So, to "know" on which half of the Earth it will decay,
    we have to wait until 5 hours before decay.
    (Since it is in a near-circular orbit)
    If it is "shot down" it is even more difficult, since we don't know
    the area/mass ratio, nor the orbits, of the fragments soon enough.
    
    ----- Original Message ----- 
    
    > Reading and watching the news I understand that shooting the USA193 is a
    > final decision. Then I wonder where would most part of debris hit or
    > almost hit the earth. Does anyone have an answer for this question?
    >
    > Another question, just in case the satellite won't be shot, approximately
    > over where will it re-enter?
    >
    
    
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