We have "NO" idea. Generally, we can only guess within 15% of remaining lifetime (~within 15% of distance travelled) So, to "know" on which half of the Earth it will decay, we have to wait until 5 hours before decay. (Since it is in a near-circular orbit) If it is "shot down" it is even more difficult, since we don't know the area/mass ratio, nor the orbits, of the fragments soon enough. ----- Original Message ----- > Reading and watching the news I understand that shooting the USA193 is a > final decision. Then I wonder where would most part of debris hit or > almost hit the earth. Does anyone have an answer for this question? > > Another question, just in case the satellite won't be shot, approximately > over where will it re-enter? > ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Subscribe/Unsubscribe info, Frequently Asked Questions, SeeSat-L archive: http://www.satobs.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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