RE: USA 193 NOTAM released?

From: Geoffrey E. Forden (forden@MIT.EDU)
Date: Mon Feb 18 2008 - 23:51:21 UTC

  • Next message: de Bastos, Derek: "USA193 observation"

    The shape of the NOTAM is very interesting (it doesn't look quite as
    interesting in the pdf that you show as it does on Google Earth because of
    the change in aspect ratio.)  My simulations of the interception, which I
    will post tomorrow on 
    http://mit.edu/stgs/spaceprograms.html
    when I get into work and have our web guru put it on, indicates that the
    northern "lobe" of the NOTAM is clearly intended to allow the debris from
    the interceptor, after it picks up some velocity from the collision, land in
    a "safe" zone.  Any observers in Hawaii should look in that direction (some
    60 to 65 degrees West of North and some 770 miles from the big island.
    Perhaps observers on Maui would have a better chance of seeing it?
    Unfortunately, it will be daylight and they will be looking into the sun,
    but perhaps there will be some fireballs?)
    
    Geoff Forden
    
    -----Original Message-----
    From: Ted Molczan [mailto:ssl2molcz@rogers.com] 
    Sent: Monday, February 18, 2008 12:32 PM
    To: seesat-l@satobs.org
    Subject: USA 193 NOTAM released?
    
    The following appears to be the NOTAM for the operation to destroy USA 193
    using
    a missile:
    
    PHZH   HONOLULU CONTROL FACILITY
    	
    02/062 (A0038/08) - AIRSPACE CARF NR. 90 ON EVELYN STATIONARY RESERVATION
    WITHIN
    AN AREA BNDD BY 3145N 17012W 2824N 16642W 2352N 16317W 1909N 16129W 1241N
    16129W
    1239N 16532W 1842N 17057W 2031N 17230W 2703N 17206W SFC-UNL. 21 FEB 02:30
    2008
    UNTIL 21 FEB 05:00 2008. CREATED: 18 FEB 12:51 2008
    
    I have made the following plot, which shows that USA 193 will pass through
    the
    restricted zone on 2008 Feb 21, near 03:30 UTC (Feb 20, 10:30 PM EST):
    
    http://satobs.org/seesat_ref/06057A/USA_193_NOTAM_unverified.pdf
    
    Ted Molczan
    
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Subscribe/Unsubscribe info, Frequently Asked Questions, SeeSat-L archive:  
    http://www.satobs.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
    
    
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Subscribe/Unsubscribe info, Frequently Asked Questions, SeeSat-L archive:  
    http://www.satobs.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
    



    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Feb 18 2008 - 23:55:23 UTC