Re: USA 193 graphic.............

From: k4hsm@knology.net
Date: Fri Feb 29 2008 - 16:27:56 UTC

  • Next message: John Locker: "Re: USA 193 graphic............."

    Is there any way to predict when the orbital plane of USA193 is over an area?  So we can look for possible debris not yet recorded or too small to track?  I realize we may not see small debris re-enter, but it might give me an excuse to get out of the house...
    
    Greg Williams
    
    
    
     On Fri Feb 29  7:53 , wbard@wb-web.org sent:
    
    >I would think that the objects that have high apogees (or any high energy orbit changes) would be relatively light weight objects. Since they are trackable, they probably have a noticeable cross section. Perhaps these pieces are Mylar from the satellite. If so, then I would think they would have high drag coefficients and come down quickly.
    >
    >One thing to watch will be which objects come down the quickest. I suspect those with plane changes and high apogees (which also have high perigee velocities).
    >
    >Even Mylar can severely damage or destroy a spacecraft. NASA and the military did not deride views of increased danger. Hence the reason they waited until the shuttle came down before launching the missile. 
    >
    >Bill 
    >
    >>Yes , I agree the debris will not be long lasting , however "any" debris 
    >>within the LEO range presents a danger....and in the short term , that 
    >>danger has been increased.
    >>
    >>Looking forward about three months...based on the information available , 
    >>about 60% of the debris will have decayed by May 29 .....most over the 
    >>Pacific , by the end of August , half a dozen pieces may remain.
    >>
    >>John
    >>
    >>
    >>----- Original Message ----- 
    >>From: "Marco Langbroek" marco.langbroek@wanadoo.nl>
    >>To: "satelliet lijst (SeeSat)" SeeSat-L@satobs.org>
    >>Sent: Friday, February 29, 2008 9:21 AM
    >>Subject: Re: USA 193 graphic.............
    >>
    >>
    >>>
    >>>
    >>> John Locker schreef:
    >>>
    >>>> Strange that our earlier concerns about 193 being " removed " from orbit 
    >>>> and the resultant debris field if it was , were met with derision in 
    >>>> certain quarters !
    >>>> Strikes me this bird is coming home to roost
    >>>
    >>> In all fairness: most of this material will be gone in a few weeks. It 
    >>> will not form a long-lasting hazard.
    >>>
    >>> Maybe it will increase my chances to finally observe a decay though.
    >>>
    >>> - Marco
    >>>
    >>
    >
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