Omid decay estimates

From: Ted Molczan (
Date: Wed Feb 04 2009 - 12:10:39 UTC

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    The rate of rate of decay of USSTRATCOM's elements has settled down sufficiently
    to make initial estimates of decay dates.
    I used Alan Pickup's Satevo 0.51, with 10.7 cm solar flux of 69.
    Omid's (09004A / 33506) epoch 09034.82386470 elements yield estimated decay in
    mid June 2009.
    Omid rocket's (09004B / 33507) epoch 09034.76761317 elements yield estimated
    decay in late July 2009.
    This far in advance, the uncertainty is about one month.
    Ted Molczan
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