RE: Omid decay estimates

From: Ted Molczan (
Date: Fri Feb 06 2009 - 09:32:21 UTC

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    The rate of decay has increased considerably, perhaps due in part to more
    realistic decay terms emerging as the observed arc grows.
    Using the epoch 09036.2 elements, I estimate decay of Omid ((09004A / 33506)) in
    late April, and its rocket (09004B / 33507) in early June. Later elsets have
    somewhat greater decay terms, so these estimates may also prove too long.
    Uncertainty at least one month.
    Ted Molczan
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