As Paul Maley mentioned recently, the observation of the last days and the
reentry of the satellite will be very important for this worldwide project.
We have a lot of time, Starshine (99030B, #25769) is very slow decayer.
I have done a careful analysis for a long shot prediction. All satellite parame-
ters are well known, Starshine is a perfect sphere with a "rough" surface (The
reflectors). The important factor is the solar activity over the next five weeks.
With an undisturbed evolution of the activity the decay will be around
February 16, 02 UTC +/- 03 days.
The error margin resulted from some assumptions about the solar flux over the
next 35 days.
I will check this forecast from time to time over the coming weeks and will
start with continuous predictions about eight days before decay.
Harro
Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
Berlin, Germany
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