Report time 12:40 UTC
1983-025A (#13964) Molniya 1-57
SpaceCom released a decay forecast - prepared January 18, 05:08 UTC :
January 18, 23:53 UTC +/- 12 hours (54.0°S, 283.6°E)
During the last 48 hours there were a lot of bizarre ELSETs. I agree
with Alan's doubts about such an early decay. The actual MM is 5.054...
(Apogee: 15680.3 km/ Perigee: 99.36 km), based on the ELSET 00018.377....
A precise prediction with MPM - but also with other techniques - is difficult.
Six solar panels and 2 dish antennas on the satellite main structure are
undergone heavy stress loads during the the low perigee passages. There are
ruptures and losts of these elements that cause uplifts or crosstrack shifts of
satellite. Let us wait and see...
Harro
Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
Berlin, Germany
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Jan 18 2000 - 05:04:26 PST