Decay watch: 2000 January 27

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Thu Jan 27 2000 - 15:36:40 PST

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    #13964 = 83- 25 A = Molniya 1-57
    I think this decayed at Jan 26 19:54 +-20m near 61.9 S, 66.7 W. This
    puts it over the Drake Passage, to the S of Cape Horn, near the S tip of
    S America. My prediction for the final orbit:
    Molniya 1-57                                     399 x 79 km
    1 13964U 83025A   00026.78149700 3.95121481  19390+2  13807-2 0 93008
    2 13964  62.6115  71.6892 0241374 272.1047  85.1335 16.12906007124287
    SpaceCom gets an identical decay time.
    
    #16885 = 86- 57 A = Molniya 1-67
    No elsets have been published for this since the 24th so it is
    impossible for me to renew my analysis. SpaceCom must be tracking it,
    though, for fresh decay warnings have been appearing. The most recent
    one predicted this decay for Jan 27 14:51 +-1h at 28.1 S, 121.5 E.
    
    #26055 = 97- 47 G = Yamal 101 aux motor
    Again, nothing new (elsets or predictions) since the 24th/25th when
    SpaceCom predicted the decay for Jan 30 13:26 +-3d.
    
    See http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ for more details.
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
     Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
     Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
     Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    
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